Econ70

RETIREMENT RATIO

07/09/2025

The average age of the US population is 40. In 1970, it was 28, in 1980 it was 30, and in 2020 it was 38. When your workforce stagnates while your retiree population explodes, problems ensue. Currently, there are slightly…

TARIFF TOTALS

07/08/2025

While we can argue if households, firms, or manufacturers effectively pay tariffs, the data is in. From 1/1/25-5/31/25, California businesses paid $11.3 billion in tariffs. Texas was a distant second at $6 billion, then Michigan at $3.3 billion. 14 more…

LESS LOVELY

07/07/2025

June net employment growth was decently 147,000, April and May were revised up by 16,000, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, but curb your enthusiasm. The unemployment rate declined because the labor force participation rate slid. Moreover, the workweek…

DELICIOUS DOGS

07/03/2025

The Fourth File: July is National Hot Dog Month, and July 4th is peak hot dog day when 150 million hot dogs are eaten, enough to stretch from DC-LA five times. The person that’s eaten the most dogs in ten…

STATISTICAL SKEPTICISM

07/02/2025

June net employment growth will be reported 7/3/25. Importantly, the number that comes out is preliminary. There’ll be a first revision in August, a second revision in September. In August there will also be a preliminary “benchmark” revision (based on…

DEFICIT DESCRIPTION

07/01/2025

As recently as 2011, the US ran a trade deficit in petroleum products of $330 billion/year. The trade deficit that year was $445 billion. By 2019, due to the fracking revolution, the petroleum trade deficit was zero, yet the trade…

MILLIONAIRE MIGRATION

06/30/2025

The millionaire population totals 60 million. It rose by 685,000 last year, the US added 379,000. Unsurprisingly, they’re mobile. The biggest recipient nation of millionaire immigrants that also take on new citizenship in 2025 is expected to be the UAE…

DEFENSIVE DRIVING

06/27/2025

The Friday File: The city with the longest gap, on average, between vehicle collisions/driver is Brownsville, TX at 14.2 years, followed by Boise, ID at 13.9, Fort Collins, CO at 13.4, and Cary, NC at 12.9. The US average is…

FED FEALTY

06/26/2025

The dollar keeps weakening. The latest slippage may be because Trump intends to introduce the next Fed chairman 6-7 months before Powell’s term expires, highly unusual. Worse, the candidate list includes Kevin Hassett and Scott Bessent, true “yes men”. This…

NATO NUMBERS

06/25/2025

Among the 31 NATO countries, the one spending the most on defense in 2024, as a percentage of GDP, at 4.12% was Poland, followed by Estonia at 3.43%. In third, the US at 3.38%, trailed by Latvia at 3.15%, then…

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