The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Big Borrowing

08/17/2017

Household debt rose for the 12th straight quarter in 17Q2, and is $12.8 trillion, a record. However, it’s just 67% of GDP, compared to 87% in 08Q3, when household debt last peaked. But, credit card and auto loan delinquencies are…

Satisfactory Spending

08/16/2017

While retail sales jumped 0.6% in July, and May and June were upwardly revised, don’t conclude that consumer spending, 70% of GDP, is necessarily great. Retail sales including food service sales equal $2.4 trillion/year, 20% of consumer spending. Consumer spending…

Domicile Dominion

08/15/2017

Among western industrialized nations, Singapore’s homeownership rate is tops; 90.8%, Norway follows at 82.8%, then Iceland at 77.8%, Italy at 72.9%, Finland at 72.7%, Luxembourg at 72.5%, Belgium at 71.3%, Sweden at 70.6%, Ireland at 68.6%, Netherlands at 67.8%, Canada…

Equity Examination

08/14/2017

Awesome Athletes

08/11/2017

The Friday File: The largest sporting event in the world, by number of athletes, was the 2016 Rio Summer Olympics which included 11,237 athletes. Second was the 2015 African Games held in Brazzaville, Congo which counted 15,000 athletes, coaches, and…

Minimal Manufacturing

08/10/2017

When western democracies hit peak manufacturing employment in the early 1970s, national income was about $20,000/person and manufacturing employment was 30% of total employment. When the next wave of nations including Brazil and South Korea hit peak manufacturing employment in…

Economic Expansions

08/09/2017

While the current economic expansion is the weakest ever, averaging just 2.1% GDP growth/year, the second weakest was the previous recovery which ended with the Great Recession. The third weakest, the recovery before that, which was the longest recovery ever;…

Rate Reprieve

08/08/2017

Two weeks ago the Fed met and, unsurprisingly, gave no indication that a rate rise was is the offing; inflation is too weak. Instead, the Fed strongly suggested they will commence reducing their holdings of long-dated debt following their meeting…

Excellent Exertion

08/07/2017

With 209,000 net new jobs in July and YTD average monthly employment gains averaging 184,000, just below the 187,000 in CY16, job growth is excellent. The employment-to-population ratio at 60.2% is at its best level since 2/09, and the unemployment…

To The Point From the Reno Sparks Association of REALTORS Millennials Impact on Market

08/07/2017

Get To The Point with John Graham President of the Reno Sparks Association of REALTORS as he shares insight from Elliot Eisenberg on the real estate performance and trends in Northern Nevada. Read more here.

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