Econ70

Complicated Chess

02/24/2017

The Friday File: The first known game of blindfold chess took place in the 13th century when Buzecca played two games simultaneously. In the 18th century, Andre Phildor played three opponents at once. In the 20th century, blindfold chess took…

Renter Reduction

02/23/2017

Until recently, the combination of a shortage of multifamily units, booming demographic demand from Millennials, and an improving economy meant strong demand for apartments. This resulted in strong rental growth and large increases in supply. But, things are reversing. The…

Maturity Matters

02/22/2017

10-year Treasury yields are up for many reasons including a subtle shift in Fed policy. The average maturity of the Fed’s huge Treasury portfolio has declined from 7.5 years in 13Q4 to six. This reinvestment strategy raises long rates by…

Fickle French

02/21/2017

While French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen, whose platform includes pulling France out of the EU, is expected to win the first round of the French presidential elections on April 23rd with up to 27% of the popular vote, in…

Better Borrowing

02/20/2017

Total household debt increased by $226 billion in 16Q4, and is just $99 billion below the peak of $12.7 trillion set in 08Q3. However, household debt is now just 67% of GDP, down from 85% at the peak. Moreover, back…

Outlook for NM economy: `flat to mildly improving’

02/17/2017

Read what Elliot had to say about the outlook for the New Mexico economy. Read more here.

Temporary Term

02/17/2017

The Friday File: Michael Flynn’s career as White House national security advisor lasted a record-short 24 days. The shortest tenure in that post had previously been held by William Jackson, who served in the Eisenhower White House for 129 days,…

Intensive Investment

02/16/2017

In 2015, the world’s most research-intensive nation was Israel, which invested 4.25% of GDP in research and development. Second was South Korea at 4.23%, up dramatically from 2.2% in 2000, but which has held spending flat since 2012. The US…

Export Economics

02/15/2017

In 2015, US exports totaled $2.23 trillion. Canada, our largest export market, purchased 19%, or $423 billion of exports. Mexico was next at 16%. Collectively, both NAFTA partners purchased 35% of American exports. China was a distant third, purchasing 8%…

Valentine Value

02/14/2017

After spending a record $19.7 billion last year, or $146.84/celebrant, spending this Valentine’s Day is expected to be $18.2 billion; $136.57/celebrant. It’s partly because the percentage of Americans celebrating Valentine’s Day has declined from 63% to 54% since 2007. As…

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