Econ70
The first estimate for 24Q2 real GDP came in at a surprisingly strong 2.8% annualized rate, well above expectations of, at most, 2%, and well up from 1.4% in 24Q1. The result was due to rising inventories, strong consumer spending…
The cost of virtual consultation with a primary care physician is $99. Seeing the same doctor in their office raises the cost of service to $170. If you go to an urgent-care center/clinic the cost to provide care rises to…
For the year end 3/24, foreigners purchased 54,300 homes, down 36% Y-o-Y, and the lowest number since recordkeeping began in 2009. The biggest impediments; a strong dollar and limited inventory. Dollar volume fell 21% to $42 billion despite an average…
While June housing starts were up 3% M-o-M to a 1.353-million-unit annualized rate, the rise was all volatile multifamily driven. Single-family starts fell 2.2% and are now down four months in a row. Moreover, June starts came in at 980,000…
The Friday File: On Thursday, my favorite comedian Bob Newhart died. His 1961 record “The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart (which I remember vividly) quickly led to “The Button-Down Mind Strikes Back. At one point they were #1 and #2…
Yesterday’s release of the Fed’s Beige Book, covering economic activity from mid-May through the end of June, will not be a best seller. While seven Fed districts exhibited growth, five districts recorded “flat or declining activity”. That is down from…
The state average mortgage interest rate varies from 3.8% in Colorado and Utah to 4.5% in Mississippi and West Virginia. Eight states are at 4.3% including FL, NY, and TX. General average rates rise as you move east. The variation…
Traditionally, house prices have declined when months-of-inventory exceeds six months. However, in 2022 we saw prices fall for seven months despite months-of-inventory in the 3s! That was probably a knee-jerk reaction to rapidly rising rates and memories of 2008/09. Months-of-supply…
Inflation, as measured by the CPI, declined 0.1% in June, the first M-o-M decline since 5/20 as inflation pressures continue receding. Y-o-Y inflation was 3.0%, the lowest reading since 6/23. Core inflation, a better measure, rose a scant 0.1% M-o-M,…
The Friday File: In 2008, data centers around the world collectively used almost 50 terawatts (TWh) of power. By 2012 usage had roughly doubled to almost 100 TWh, and by 2017 had doubled again to 200 TWh. At present, usage…