The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Costly Cattle

03/05/2014

After years of drought, the US cattle herd is the smallest it’s been in decades. To that add an unexpected drop in feed prices resulting in farmers holding on to females to breed animals and rebuild herds, and you have…

Offside Owners

03/04/2014

One reason existing home sales are so anemic is because few homeowners can afford to sell. There are 75 million owner-occupied households; 10 million are underwater and 10 million have insufficient equity in their homes to afford a down payment…

Trivial Tax Talk

03/03/2014

While many praise Representative Camp (R-MI) for proposing a pro-growth yet DOA overhaul of the nation’s tax system, the fact that he is termed out as Chairman of the tax writing Ways and Means (W&M) Committee in 1/15 and that…

Reservations About The Dollar

03/01/2014

Since the start of the Great Recession of 2008 and the Fed’s decision to inject trillions of dollars into the banking system, there has been constant talk of the US dollar losing its position as the world’s reserve currency, the…

Box Office Oscar

02/28/2014

The Friday File: Academy Awards boost ticket sales two ways; the “nomination effect” and the “winner effect”. While Ocsar winners sell more tickets than movies that are only nominated, most of the difference occurs before the awards ceremonies. Thus ticket…

Payrolls & Exports

02/27/2014

In 2011, monthly payroll growth averaged 174,000 in 2012 it averaged 186,000 and 194,000 last year. This year I expect employment to be at least as strong as in 2013. Moreover, I’m only mildly concerned about weakness in emerging markets…

Income Inequality

02/26/2014

To understand why income and wealth are becoming increasingly unequal in America, look no further than Facebook’s purchase of WhatsApp for $19 billion! That’s 40% more than the value of the median firm in the S%P 500. If shared equally…

Housing Hurting

02/25/2014

Recent housing data has been weak. It’s because the weather has been harsh, there’s a lack of developable lots and skilled workers, limited inventory, reduced investor buying, higher mortgage rates, fewer low-priced distressed sales and higher house prices. Despite these…

Declining Dollars

02/24/2014

While raising the minimum wage to $10.10 from the current $7.25 is estimated to eliminate 500,000 jobs and raise 900,000 workers out of poverty, that’s not the end of the story. Those numbers will steadily decline as inflation eats away…

Olympic Outcome

02/21/2014

With the Olympics almost over, among winter powerhouse countries the one that most positively surprised was Netherlands with 22 medals, double what was expected. Conversely, Austria, Germany, Norway and South Korea all won about 40% fewer medals than expected. Most…

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