The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Beijing Bankruptcy

03/19/2014

The decision by the Chinese government to finally let a domestic bond default occur is good, as it may force the market to start pricing in risk. But, investors have no idea why Beijing allowed this default or what criteria…

Understanding Unemployment

03/18/2014

With unemployment at 6.7%, close to the 6.5% level at which the Fed has said it would raise short-term rates, the Fed must change its short-term interest rate guidance. The Fed is wrestling with how much slack exists in labor…

Greening of America

03/17/2014

In the six New England states and Pennsylvania, the percentage of persons of Irish heritage is greater than 16% and in Boston it is 24.1%. By contrast in Louisiana, Texas, New Mexico, Utah and California the percentage is less than…

NCAA Nyet

03/14/2014

The Friday File: There is a billion dollar prize for correctly predicting all 63 games in the NCAA College basketball tournament. Assuming you can guess the winner 70% of the time, which has never been accomplished, your chance of winning…

Terrific Traffic

03/13/2014

In an incontrovertible sign of economic improvement, road congestion is rising. Nationwide, traffic was up 6% in 2013 and traffic jams increased in 61 of the nation’s 100 largest cities compared to just six cities in 2012. The bulk of…

Safe Scotland

03/12/2014

On 9/18/14 Scots will vote on whether to leave the United Kingdom. Much has been made of the possibility that England won’t permit Scotland to use the pound sterling if they vote to secede. So what! Scotland can always peg…

Weak Wealth

03/11/2014

While household wealth hit a new high of $80.7 trillion in Q4 2013, up $9.8 trillion from 12 months earlier and up from $68.8 trillion before the Great Recession, on an inflation adjusted per-capita basis wealth is still about $500…

Funding Fannie & Freddie

03/10/2014

By the end of this quarter, Fannie and Freddie will have paid the government $203 billion, slightly more than the $187.5 billion they received from the Government in their 2008 bailout. But 2008 was six years ago. Had the government…

Daylight Savings Silliness

03/07/2014

The Friday file: Setting our clocks ahead by one hour this Sunday morning is a lousy idea. Not only does it increase traffic fatalities by about 6% and raise your chances of suffering a heart attack by 10%, it fails…

Putrid Putin

03/06/2014

With the Russian stock market skidding 11% and the Ruble falling 1.3%, Russia’s central bank was forced to boost interest rates by 1.5% to stem the Ruble slide. But higher rates will reduce an already slowing Russian economy and a…

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