The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Extended Executives

12/11/2015

The Friday File: This Monday, Governor Terry Branstad of Iowa will become the longest serving governor in US history at 7,640 days, almost 21 years, and will surpass the long held record of Vice President and Revolutionary War General George…

Goofy Gold

12/10/2015

It’s remarkable that several Republican presidential candidates advocate a return to the gold standard. Doing so would outsource our money supply growth and thus monetary policy to the world’s largest gold producers including China, Russia, Peru and South Africa. And…

Fed Futures

12/09/2015

With a Fed rate hike a forgone conclusion, the next three issues of concern are: how gradually will the Fed raise rates, when does the Fed stop reinvesting interest and principal from their $4 trillion portfolio of Treasuries and agency…

Crummy Conservatorship

12/08/2015

Since bailing out Fannie and Freddie to the tune of $188 billion, the Treasury has taken all their profit and is slowly taking all their capital. By 2018, F&F will have none. Unfortunately, F&F are becoming less profitable as they…

Wonderful Work

12/07/2015

Friday’s labor numbers were excellent! 211,000 net new jobs, upward revisions totaling 35,000 for September and October, an increase in the labor force participation rate from 62.4% to 62.5%, and decent year-over-year wage growth of 2.3%. Better yet, construction added…

Solid Sleep

12/04/2015

The Friday File: After closely observing three pre-agricultural groups, one from Tanzania, one from southern Africa and one from Bolivia, researchers learned that these peoples averaged 6.5 hours of sleep/day. Moreover, the groups stayed awake for an average of 3.3…

Dismal Deposits

12/03/2015

To boost European economic activity, the ECB lowered the rate it pays banks that have deposits with it from -0.2% to -0.3%! These negative returns may encourage more lending, but I’m skeptical. It will, however, weaken the euro, boosting exports…

Meek Manufacturing

12/02/2015

US manufacturing activity contracted in November, the first monthly decline since 11/12, the second since 07/09. Manufacturing is sputtering due to the strengthening dollar, anemic global growth, low commodity prices and poor capital spending due to lousy corporate profit growth.…

Receding Retail

12/01/2015

Between 1970 and 2009, US retail space grew 54% and peaked at 49.8 square feet/person. Since then, it’s fallen for six straight years and is now 48.3 square feet/person. Only one mall of at least a million square feet has…

Happy Hoteliers

11/30/2015

Happy Hoteliers 2015 is shaping up to be the best year ever for hotels, better than the record year of 2000. Occupancy rates then were 66.9% YTD, they are now 67.9%. Year-to-date the average daily rate for an occupied room…

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