The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Grifting GDP
US GDP only includes legal activities. It really should include black-market activities like illegal drug sales, prostitution, theft, gambling, and so on. If it did, GDP would be about 1%, or $210 billion larger; the GDP of Alabama. In 1980,…
Read More about Grifting GDPHappy Housing
November housing starts came in at an annualized rate of 1.365 million, up a strong 13.6% Y-o-Y. Single-family starts were up 16.7% Y-o-Y; multifamily was up 4.4% Y-o-Y. Despite these seemingly strong Y-o-Y numbers, YTD starts are up a scant…
Read More about Happy HousingWomen’s Work
Last month, women comprised exactly 50% of employed persons in the US. The last and only other time this occurred was in 2009-2010, when male employment collapsed due to the massive loss of manufacturing and construction jobs during the Great…
Read More about Women’s WorkTree Timing
While the average price of a Christmas tree in 2018 was $76.35, there was great variation over time. On 11/23/18, Black Friday, the first major tree buying day, the average price was $79.11. It then peaked at $83.92 on 11/26/18,…
Read More about Tree TimingSaudi Shareholders
In an effort to boost the value of Aramco (Saudi Arabian Oil Company) to $2 trillion, the Saudis reduced the offering size to just 1.5% from 5%, listed it on the Saudi stock exchange and not in NY or London,…
Read More about Saudi ShareholdersTiny Taxes
At 24.3% of GDP, the US tax burden is lower than all but three OECD (36 western democracies) nations; Chile, Ireland and Mexico. The US tax rate is exactly 10 percentage points lower than the OECD average rate. In 2000,…
Read More about Tiny TaxesMoney Man
This past Sunday, former Fed Chairman extraordinaire Paul Volker died. During his helm (1979-1987), he unequivocally changed economic history. He not only fought relentlessly for central bank independence but slayed runaway 1970s inflation. Because of the latter, he was one…
Read More about Money ManExcellent Employment
Net jobs growth of 266,000 in November, along with upward revisions to September and October totaling 41,000, and a slight decline in the unemployment rate to 3.5% makes this a solid job report. Better yet, average job growth over the…
Read More about Excellent EmploymentWealthy Whiskey
The Friday File: In October 2019, a bottle of whisky sold at auction for $1.9 million, breaking the previous record of $1.5 million set in 2018. Both bottles come from Macallan cask 263 (European Oak) distilled in 1926 and bottled…
Read More about Wealthy WhiskeyEconomic Emissions
In 2018, US CO2 emissions rose 2.7% to 5.27 billion metric tons. However, CO2 emissions have declined in six of the past 10 years and remain 12% lower than their 2005 peak despite the economy being 25% larger in inflation-adjusted…
Read More about Economic EmissionsRecent Posts
- HOUSING HIBERNATION 08/27/2026
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
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