The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Realtor Reality
Residential real estate commissions typically are 6%, split between buyer and seller agents. Importantly, the seller pays the commission to both agents. If the seller offered less, selling agents wouldn’t show the home. Thus, commissions stay high, but the median…
Read More about Realtor RealityModest Moving
Just 9.8% of Americans changed their residence between 2018 and 2019, the lowest percentage since such record keeping began in 1947/48! This new low is occurring amidst the weakest population growth on record, limited immigration and an aging society. Most…
Read More about Modest MovingNasty Non-competes
One reason wage growth has been weak is the rise of non-compete clauses in employment contracts. The percentage of US workers who have signed a non-compete is now 20%! Not surprisingly it’s 40% for those with professional degrees, and 30%…
Read More about Nasty Non-competesParty Purchasing
The Friday File: In addition to US politics becoming increasingly tribal, so is our shopping! While the CNN (Democrats), Fox (Republicans) viewership divide is well known, the NBA is now 50% more popular among Democrats than Republicans. By contrast, NASCAR…
Read More about Party PurchasingTerrific Thanksgiving
The first Thanksgiving was celebrated in 1621, and President Lincoln proclaimed Thanksgiving a national holiday on 10/3/1863. 96% of Americans celebrate Thanksgiving, and along the way we spend $550 million buying turkeys. The first Thanksgiving college football game took place…
Read More about Terrific ThanksgivingParental Pay
In 1940, the percentage of children who earned more than their parents by age 30 was 92%. The percentage fell to 80% by 1950, and from 1960-1975 it held at 60%. It’s since continued to fall and is now 50%.…
Read More about Parental PayBillionaire Bias
While taxing billionaires is now very chic, the notion that they are the result of bad/failed government policy is wrong. It heavily depends on the competitiveness of the market. Google and Facebook are monopolists and earn excessive profits as competition…
Read More about Billionaire BiasDollar Duration
The Friday File: The average dollar bill lasts 5.8 years. The average $5 bill, 5.5 years, while the $10 bill lasts just 4.5 years, less than any other note. $20s average 7.9 years, $50 bills last a slightly longer 8.5…
Read More about Dollar DurationTrade Truce
If the US-China trade war does not worsen and President Trump doesn’t increase tariffs on Chinese imports on 12/15/19, the trade war’s negative impact on GDP here and China should end by 12/31/20. The cumulative reduction in Chinese GDP is…
Read More about Trade TruceHousing Hooray
With manufacturing, capital spending by firms, transportation, agriculture, and energy all weak, the relatively good October housing starts were particularly pleasing. Starts were up 8.5% Y-o-Y, are at their second-best level since 5/18, and single-family starts have been rising since…
Read More about Housing HoorayRecent Posts
- HOUSING HIBERNATION 08/27/2026
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
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