Econ70

Shrinking Supply

10/25/2022

From 11/03 through 2/20, M2, a money stock measure including cash, checking and savings accounts, and money market funds grew 5.9%/year. Between 3/20 and 2/22, the worst of Covid-19, it grew 18.2%/year, three times as quickly, and peaked at 26.9%…

Petroleum Protection

10/24/2022

The Strategic Petroleum Reserve, established in the 1970s to protect against unexpected oil supply reductions, was filled slightly beyond capacity on 12/27/09 when it held 726.6 million barrels across all four storage sites along the Gulf of Mexico. For most…

Camera Clicks

10/21/2022

The Friday File: In 1951, global cameras sales totaled a million. By 1980, that number had risen to 15 million, by 1990 sales topped 30 million and by the late 90s sales approached 40 million. Then digital cameras appeared and…

Languishing London

10/20/2022

Great Britain, the world’s sixth biggest economy, faces continued turmoil with the resignation of Prime Minister Truss. She assumed the job 44 days ago, making her the shortest-serving British PM, breaking the record of George Canning who died after 119…

Dwelling Disaster

10/19/2022

With 30-year mortgage rates steadily climbing and now at 7%, it’s unsurprising the NAHB Housing Market Index fell to 38 in October, the 10th straight monthly decline, and outside of Covid, its worst level since 8/12. First-time mortgage applications are…

Beijing Behavior

10/18/2022

While Beijing was to release its GDP data today, it’s been postponed indefinitely. Hours before that announcement, China’s top planning agency said growth had “rebounded significantly” and remained “outstanding”. A raft of other economic data was also suddenly and indefinitely…

Tough Treasuries

10/17/2022

The interest rate on the 10-Year Treasury has risen for 11 straight weeks. This is the first time this has happened since at least 1978. Until this recent streak, the longest such run had been nine weeks on just two…

Nobel Notice

10/14/2022

The Friday File: Earlier this week, the Chemistry Nobel Prize was awarded to the trio of Carolyn Bertozzi, Morten Meldal, and K. Barry Sharpless for click chemistry and bioorthogonal chemistry, whatever they are. The key, this is Shapless’ second Nobel…

British Battering

10/13/2022

August UK GDP declined for the second time in three months. Moreover, service activity also fell in August, and industrial production and manufacturing activity are sinking. Additionally, option bets on further pound weakness are at their most extreme since Brexit…

Deficit Decline

10/12/2022

While last year’s budget deficit (FY21) was $2.8 trillion, the preliminary estimate of the FY22 deficit, which ended 9/30/22, is $1.4 trillion, a decline of 50%. This total includes $426 billion for student-loan debt relief but excludes income-driven repayment relief,…

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