Econ70
Bitcoin processing consumes staggering amounts of power, and due to slow and expensive transactions, its utility as currency is nil. Moreover, with central banks now focusing on govcoins, cryptos will never displace real currencies. Furthermore, crypto is way too volatile…
The US economy is currently experiencing two types of inflation, base-effect and bottleneck. Base-effect inflation is the result of collapsing prices a year ago, during the lockdown. This inflation thus manifests itself in year-over-year inflation measures and will quickly subside.…
The Friday File: In addition to semiconductor, chicken wing, and lumber shortages, you can add chlorine. When Covid-19 first, hit DIY handwashing solutions often recommended adding chlorine powder. Add to that a surge in the demand for pools, and a…
Compared to 1/1/20, the labor force participation rate (LFRP) for men with youngsters declined 1% during the lockdown; it remains unchanged. For men absent young kids, their LFPR bottomed at -4%, it’s now -2%. For women without youngsters, their LFRP…
Only 40% of container ships arrived on time in March, down from 70% pre-pandemic, primarily due to massive backups waiting to unload. Moreover, delivery delays stretch from docks to rail yards. These delays have increased the cost of moving a…
Aside of a bad Covid recurrence, here’s how a recession could occur. Due to supply chain problems and labor shortages, consumer prices and wage inflation rise quickly, spooking markets. Powell resists raising rates, but the pressure is too great and…
Traditionally, the retail inventory-to-sales ratio fluctuates between 1.4 and 1.5. In 4/20 it skyrocketed to 1.67 as we were locked down and stopped most purchases. By July, it collapsed to 1.2 as retailers stopped buying. By December, the ratio had…
Happy Homeland The Friday File: The USA is the 14th happiest nation on Earth, up from 18th last year and 19th the year before. The Scandinavian nations hold five of the top eight spots, and as a result Europe holds…
While increasing capital gains taxes is understandable, it discourages savings and investment, and some capital gains are simply the result of inflation and shouldn’t be taxed. However, taxing capital gains too lightly encourages the disguising of wages as capital income…
Job openings hit a record 8.1 million in March despite a staggering 9.7 million unemployed Americans. There were also 3.5 million quits in March, not far from the peak of 3.6 million in 7/19. Expanded unemployment benefits are reducing labor…