The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Inventory Irritant

07/26/2016

While existing home sales in June were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million, their highest level since 2/07, sales remain 22% off the peak of mid-2005. A key reason; a low inventory that essentially hasn’t budged since late…

Venal Venezuela

07/25/2016

While most nations are struggling mightily with how to boost inflation from microscopic levels, Venezuela has more than enough. This year, Venezuelan inflation is expected to reach 500%, and in 2017, a terrifying 1,650%. Declining oil prices alone hurt, but…

Baby Block

07/22/2016

The Friday File: The number of foreign adoptions by Americans fell by 12% in 2015 to 5,648, down from 6,438 in 2014 and a peak of 22,884 in 2004, from which the number has steadily declined. In 2015, the number…

Damn Debt

07/21/2016

For the year ending 6/16, the budget deficit totaled $523 billion, up 20.6% from a year earlier. As a percentage of GDP, it’s 2.9%, the highest level since 3/15. Revenues grew 2% in the last 12 months, spending grew 4.3%.…

Puny Percentages

07/20/2016

With global growth slowing and inflation benign, easy monetary policy is here for longer. Of the 25 largest central banks, only two have recently raised rates; the Fed and the Federal Reserve Bank of Mexico. Twelve are expected to ease,…

Deficient Demand

07/19/2016

The labor force participation rate has fallen substantially for workers with, at most, a high school degree. This fall in the supply of low-skilled workers should raise wages. Yet, their wages have fallen 25% compared to workers with a college…

Sluggish Sentiment

07/18/2016

The first post-Brexit US economic data point came out Friday, and it showed that consumer sentiment declined from 93.5 in June to 89.5 during the first 10 days of July; hardly surprising. Record numbers of households mentioned Brexit, including nearly…

Rocking Revenue

07/15/2016

The Friday File: The highest grossing musical tour in 2015 was Taylor Swift, with revenues of $250 million, followed by AC/DC at $180, One Direction at $159, U2 at $152 and Foo Fighters at $127. The highest grossing concert tour…

Rotten Rates

07/15/2016

While stock markets have largely recovered from the recent Brexit vote, trouble lurks as witnessed by the continued plumbing of new depths by interest rates. 10-year US Treasuries recently hit a historic low of 1.36%, equivalent duration German bonds yield…

Fine Foreclosures

07/13/2016

The percentage of homes with a mortgage in foreclosure in 5/16 was 1%, compared to 1.3% in 5/15 and a peak of 4.5% in 2010. The current rate is the lowest since 10/07 but is still double the historic average.…

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