The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Tweet Tracking
The Friday File: After tweeting/retweeting about 200 times/month in January and February, President Trump’s tweeting fell to a low of 150 in April. Since then, he has upped his game. In July, President Trump’s tweets hit 400 for the first…
Read More about Tweet TrackingThanksgiving Thanks
This year, the average cost of a full Thanksgiving dinner for 10 persons is $49.12; 75 cents or 1.5% lower than last year, 3% lower inflation-adjusted, and the lowest inflation-adjusted price since 2010. The priciest inflation-adjusted Thanksgiving repast was $62.40…
Read More about Thanksgiving ThanksExempt Estates
Last year, 2.6 million Americans died. Of those, 5,219 had estates large enough, greater than $5.49 million/person, to pay estate tax. Doubling the exempted amount to $11 million/person, which the Senate proposes, would reduce the number of taxable estates to…
Read More about Exempt EstatesHalting Housing
While housing starts in October rose 13.7% compared to September, they remain 2.9% below the level of 10/16, and are up just 5.8% YTD. Technically, it’s because multifamily activity is down roughly 10% YTD. That’s because multifamily activity has returned…
Read More about Halting HousingDear Da Vinci
The Friday File: Earlier this week, the “Salvator Mundi” by Da Vinci sold at auction for $400 million, $450 million including fees. This shatters the prior auction price high of $179 million set in 2015 for Picaso’s “Les Femmes d’Alger”,…
Read More about Dear Da VinciMortgage Matters
With the median house value in the US at $205,000, capping the mortgage interest deduction on loan principal eligible for the deduction to $500,000 from the current $1,000,000 would impact just 5% of home owners. Moreover, just 6.7% of the…
Read More about Mortgage MattersBritish Bluster
Talk of the UK ending up with “no-deal” on trade from the EU is rising, but it’s rubbish! Absent a deal, the UK would instantly enter a recession, and by 2030 British GDP would be 10% or $8,300/person lower than…
Read More about British BlusterFiscal Follies
The Congressional budget resolution allowing for tax reform proposes increasing the debt over the next decade by $1.5 trillion on top of the already projected $10.1 trillion debt increase. The argument is that faster growth will pay for itself. I…
Read More about Fiscal FolliesLimited Labor
While our economy is humming with 3.1% GDP growth in 17Q2 and 3% growth in 17Q3, these rates are unsustainable. That’s because these rates have required such large increases in employment that the unemployment rate declined from a low 4.5%…
Read More about Limited LaborReligious Rates
The Friday File: 75% of Mississippians pray daily, tops in the US; just 31% of Vermonters do, the smallest percentage. As for believing in Hell, top spot at 77% is held by residents of Mississippi and Tennessee; just 36% of…
Read More about Religious RatesRecent Posts
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
- DEFICIT DANGER 08/20/2026
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