The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Elliot Eisenberg and Shift Research Lab Present Economic Impact of Affordable Housing Report
On August 6th, Denver’s Urban Land Conservancy welcomed world renowned economist Elliot Eisenberg and Jennifer Newcomer, Principal – Research at Shift Research Lab to present the findings of a recent study to understand the economic impact of building and rehabbing…
Read More about Elliot Eisenberg and Shift Research Lab Present Economic Impact of Affordable Housing ReportJob Jolt
July’s net job growth of 157,000 was solid, especially considering the closure of Toys “R” Us, which resulted in 32,000 job losses in hobby and game stores. May and June were substantially revised up, the broadest measure of unemployment hit…
Read More about Job JoltLargest Lingos
The Friday File: Looking only at native speakers, the most spoken language in the world is Chinese with 1.3 billion first-language speakers. A distant second is Spanish with almost 440 million speakers. English is third with 372 million native speakers,…
Read More about Largest LingosIranian Inflation
At the beginning of 2018, one US dollar was worth about 41,000 Iranian rials. By the time President trump pulled the US out of the Iran Nuclear Deal, the exchange rate was 60,000 rials/dollar and now it is 120,000 rials/dollar.…
Read More about Iranian InflationFacebook Failure
Last Thursday Facebook lost $119 billion, 19% of its market value, after predicting slowing revenue growth in the remainder of 2018. It was the largest one-day dollar decline for a US company ever, ahead of Intel’s $90 drop in 4/00.…
Read More about Facebook FailureTariffs Today
In 2017, federal government revenues were $3.316 trillion, of which 1%, or $34.6 billion, came from tariffs. While more money will come from tariffs, how much is unknown. Firms may import non-tariffed substitutes, they may buy the product from a…
Read More about Tariffs TodayGreat GDP
The US economy grew 4.1% in 18Q2, its fastest pace since 14Q3. Better yet, excluding volatile exports, inventories and government purchases, growth was a stellar 4.3%, and I see Q3 growth coming in at a strong 3%. Longer term, I’m…
Read More about Great GDPPerfect Pitch
The Friday File: With data showing pitcher performance declines considerably when facing opposing batters for a third time, innings pitched by starters is averaging just 5 1/3 innings. This makes relief pitching critical. And, because relievers on average pitch to…
Read More about Perfect PitchRecession Recognition
An inverted yield curve, a situation where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, has preceded each of the past seven recessions by 8 to 23 months. At present, the yield curve is very close to inverting. But, rarely have…
Read More about Recession RecognitionWeak Wages
While wages are increasing very slowly in response to the remarkably low unemployment rate, regrettably inflation is also rising and is at a six-year high. Real wage growth, which has been slowing since late 2016, was flat Y-o-Y in May…
Read More about Weak WagesRecent Posts
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
- DEFICIT DANGER 08/20/2026
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