The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Baseball Bucks
The Friday File: Of the 1,453 baseball players who accrued at least one day of service in 2019, 584 players (40.6%) earned less than a million in career income, with the median being $357,718. Of the 199 players with 1-2…
Read More about Baseball BucksProperty Prices
Since real estate transactions have been very limited given Covid-19, knowing what various types of real estate are worth has been hard to directly ascertain. However, publicly REITs trade daily. YTD through 6/30/20, data centers are up 19%, infrastructure is…
Read More about Property PricesStrange Spending
While spending by the poor (bottom 25%) fell by 23% and by the wealthy (top 25%) by 31% at the start of this pandemic, spending by the poor has recovered. For the wealthy it remains down 17%. The wealthy elect…
Read More about Strange SpendingCarbon Complications
A key problem with energy conservation is the “rebound effect” where the monetary savings achieved via conservation results in spending in ways that boost emissions. Research finds this perverse effect negates about 59% of emissions savings. A second problem is…
Read More about Carbon ComplicationsPPP Paradox
It is becoming painfully clear that firms that received most of the $500 billion in PPP money laid off few workers between late February and early April, when the PPP money first became available. This is because they were in…
Read More about PPP ParadoxGood Golf
The Friday File: Comparing average scores of the first three golf tournaments played this year without fans to scores in the identical tourneys in 2019, scores were unchanged in the first event, but fell 2 strokes in the second; 1…
Read More about Good GolfGloomy Growth
The just-released June IMF growth projections are calling for 2020 global economic activity to contract by 4.9%, or $4.3 trillion, compared to a forecasted contraction of 3% in the April report. By comparison, in 2009, during the last global recession,…
Read More about Gloomy GrowthHousehold Holdings
In the Great Recession of 2008/09, household net worth declined by over 80% of annual income. In the current recession, household wealth has fallen by 20% of income, 25% as much. Why? A fast-moving and hard charging central bank, massive…
Read More about Household HoldingsState Salve
From 4/1/20-6/30/20, state and local tax revenues will fall by $150 billion, exceeding the $100 billion decline experienced during the entire Great Recession. Moreover, spending has soared as states boost expenditures on unemployment insurance, healthcare, and police. Worse, budget shortfalls…
Read More about State SalveDeveloping Destruction
Developing nations are being hit hard due to indirect effects of Sars-Cov-2. Monies sent home from those working in developed nations has plummeted, tourism revenues have evaporated, and collapsing commodity prices have reduced export earnings. Additionally, the strong US dollar…
Read More about Developing DestructionRecent Posts
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
- DEFICIT DANGER 08/20/2026
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