The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Frightful Funds

03/15/2021

In 2020, 60% of US large-cap stock-picking mutual funds lagged the unmanaged S&P 500. Regrettably, this underperformance isn’t new. 2020 was the 11th straight year a majority of actively managed funds underperformed the index. Of all large-cap actively managed funds…

Refined Returns

03/12/2021

The Friday File: During 2020, the Knight-Frank Luxury Investment Index rose just 3% after declining 1% in 2019. The top performer for the second year in a row, Hermes handbags (think Birkin bag) up 17%, bettering their 13% jump in…

Incoming Inflation

03/11/2021

A year ago today, the WHO declared Sars-CoV-2 a global pandemic. Lockdowns commenced and prices of many goods and services collapsed, airline tickets, clothes, oil, as examples, and M-o-M inflation readings went negative in March, April, and May. Comparing those…

Monetary Machinations

03/10/2021

The Powell Fed has made it clear it will continue purchasing Treasuries and MBS for the foreseeable future and keep short-term rates at rock bottom levels, but will not counter rising long-term rates. This is because financial conditions are loose,…

Driving Data

03/09/2021

In 2020, motor-vehicle crashes killed 42,060 people, up (yes, up) 8% from 2019. Moreover, vehicle miles driven dropped 13% last year. This means that the rate of road deaths per million miles driven rose 24%, to 1.49, the biggest annual…

Hiring Hallelujah

03/08/2021

February’s job growth of 379,000 and an upward revision of 177,000 to January’s number is good. Restaurants & bars added 289,000 jobs, while recreational outlets, hotels and medical offices added 97,000, reminding us that Covid-19 drives this recovery. All, however,…

Sports Stadiums

03/05/2021

The Friday File: Recently completed SoFi stadium in LA, at $5.5 billion, is the most expensive stadium ever built. Next most costly, Metlife Stadium (where the NFL’s Jets and Giants play lifelessly) at $2.03 billion. Las Vegas’ Allegiant Stadium follows…

Domicile Deficit

03/04/2021

Existing inventory of residential homes is currently just 1.04 million units, or 1.9 months of supply, both record lows. It is partly due to insufficient homebuilding over the past decade, Boomers aging in place, Covid-19 preventing sellers from listing, huge…

Muted Money

03/03/2021

The US savings rate jumped from 13.4% of disposable income in December to 20.5% in January. This means only 20 cents/dollar the government provided in the $600 stimulus checks was spent. This suggest most of the next round of stimi…

Asset Appraisals

03/02/2021

Through 20Q2, the value of US farmland was $2.6 trillion, and investment grade bonds (BBB rated debt and higher) were valued at $6.4 trillion. That pales compared to Treasury bonds which were worth $19.9 trillion, and US commercial real estate…

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