The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Capital Conundrum
Long-term capital gains are currently taxed at 20% and upon death there is tax-free step-up in basis, allowing heirs to only pay taxes on gains that occur after the original owner’s death. There’s now talk of raising long-term capital gains…
Read More about Capital ConundrumDelta Decline
While clearly destructive, the US economy is proving surprisingly resilient against the Delta variant. August M-o-M retail sales rose a strong 0.7%, initial weekly unemployment claims just hit their two lowest readings since the pandemic, and manufacturing activity is steadily…
Read More about Delta DeclineYour Yawns
The Friday File: While there is great debate about why yawning occurs, it appears that brain weight and yawn duration are highly correlated and the number of cortical neurons, a measure of brain complexity and yawn duration are spectacularly correlated.…
Read More about Your YawnsExpansive Exurbia
From the housing bust until the pandemic, home prices in neighborhoods within a 10- or 20-minute commute to the city center appreciated more quickly than more distant areas. Covid-19 has reversed that as people have moved further away yet almost…
Read More about Expansive ExurbiaPrice Pressures
The CPI rose 0.9% M-o-M in June, 0.5% in July and just 0.3% in August. Similar Y-o-Y numbers show inflation declining from 4.5% in June to 4.2% in July and 4% in August, a nice decline! But, trimmed measures of…
Read More about Price PressuresTolerable Trade
In the years leading up to the 2008/09 Housing Bust, the monthly US trade deficit regularly hit $70 billion/month, or $840 billion/year. At the time, that was a whopping 6% of GDP. Now, the US trade deficit is running at…
Read More about Tolerable TradeModern Mores
Non-marital childbearing has increased significantly among women of all educational levels. Over the last quarter-century however, the largest increase is among college-educated women 32-38. In 1996, the percentage was 4%, today it is 24.5%. Among women 32-38 with only a…
Read More about Modern MoresCity Characters
The Friday File: The shortest city name in 28 states has three letters; in 17 states it has four letters. Here is where it gets interesting. In three states, CT (Derby), DE (Dover) and NH (Dover), the shortest city name…
Read More about City CharactersCovid Coverage
177.4 million Americans have been fully vaccinated, 53.4% of the population. 40 million cases of Covid-19 have been reported. Assuming no one gets Covid-19 twice, that 53.4% of those testing positive for Covid-19 are vaccinated, and that reported cases are…
Read More about Covid CoverageMoney Mayhem
The US Treasury will, unless the debt ceiling is raised, start running out of money around Halloween. The term of Fed Chairman Powell ends on 1/31/22. President Biden must realistically announce his decision before Thanksgiving. Lastly, Congress must pass a…
Read More about Money MayhemRecent Posts
- TAM TRAVESTY 08/26/2026
- BESSENT BETS 08/25/2026
- TREASURY TRANSFORMATION 08/24/2026
- RUSSIAN REACH 08/21/2026
- DEFICIT DANGER 08/20/2026
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