Econ70

Retail Retrenchment

07/10/2019

Despite department and clothing stores losing jobs (81,400 over the past year, down to 2.44 million), mall vacancy rates have steadied at 9.3% after rising for two straight years. And, the vacancy rate at strip malls fell to 10.1% in…

Warren’s Wealth

07/09/2019

Senator and presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren has proposed a wealth tax of 2% on those with wealth exceeding $50 million and a 1% billionaire surcharge. This tax will affect 75,000 households. Assuming no behavioral changes and no tax avoidance/evasion strategies,…

Satisfactory Slog

07/08/2019

June’s strong 224,000 net new jobs were a huge relief after May’s weak showing and tariff traumas. That said, YTD job growth is 171,000/month, over the last 12 months it’s 192,000/month, in CY2018 it was 223,000/month; we’re slowing. Wage growth…

Bodacious Bridges

07/05/2019

The Friday File: The busiest bridge on Earth, the George Washington, with over 100 million car crossings/year. The highest is the Chinese Beipanjiang Bridge with 1,854 feet between the bridge’s span and the ground. The tallest, the French Millau Viaduct,…

Incredible Independence

07/03/2019

Tomorrow, based on the date of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, the US celebrates its 243rd birthday. However, the United States officially became a sovereign nation by the Treaty of Paris, which was signed in 1783, making the…

Reserved Recovery

07/02/2019

Since the end of WWII, there have been eleven economic recoveries. While this one is now the longest, real GDP is just slightly more than 20% higher than its pre-recession peak. Measured this way, the current recovery ranks fifth, having…

Excellent Expansion

07/01/2019

Today, the current US economic recovery becomes the longest in US history at 10 years and one day, surpassing the previous record expansion of exactly 10 years and that ended in 3/01. At this point, I suspect this recovery will…

Divorce Division

06/28/2019

The Friday File: The costliest divorce settlement in history is that between Jeff and McKenzie Bezos; $36 billion. A distant second is the settlement between Alec and Jocelyn Wildenstein for $3.8 billion back in 1999. That same year (a good…

Canadian Concern

06/27/2019

From 2000-2007, American and Canadian debt-to-disposable-income ratios rose in tandem from 100% to 140%. They have since diverged. The US rate has steadily declined to 103%, while in Canada it’s 175%, one of the highest ratios anywhere! Canadians now spend…

Increasing Inventories

06/26/2019

After a surprisingly strong 4/19 when new home sales hit an annualized rate of 679,000, new home sales returned to Earth in May with sales of 626,000. Nonetheless, YTD sales are up 4%. What’s worrying; new home inventories have been…

Recent Posts

Categories

Archives