Month: June 2026

Over the last year real consumer spending has risen 2.1%, which is slightly below the past decade’s average. The problem is personal income; over the past year it hasn’t grown. What’s propped up spending is the equities melt-up and a…

US labor productivity generally increases 1%/year. Given the number of nonfarm US employees is 160 million, that means rising productivity leads, all else equal, to permanent job losses of 1.6 million employees/year. If AI doubles labor productivity growth to 2%/year,…