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Corporate Contraction

09/05/2018

While Musk’s tweet about taking Tesla private was nonsense, it’s trend indicative. After peaking at roughly 8,000 firms in 1996, the number of US public companies has fallen steadily and is now about 4,000. Similarly, the number of IPOs has…

Fed Fracas

09/04/2018

The Federal Reserve is struggling with four issues. Is the nearly inverted yield curve telling us to raise short-term rates more slowly lest we invert the curve and precipitate a recession? How economically growth sapping will trade wars be? What’s…

Joyous Jobs

08/31/2018

The Friday File: At the worst of the Great Recession, total US employment was 129.7 million. Since then, the number of employed Americans has steadily risen and is now 149.1 million. Better yet, 51% of workers said they are satisfied…

Dueling Data

08/30/2018

Consumer confidence is by some measures at its highest level since 10/2000. Unemployment is microscopic, pay is up, and GDP growth is strong. Yet housing slumps. Pending sales are down Y-o-Y for seven straight months, existing sales have fallen four…

Free Fee

08/29/2018

In 2010, gross sales margin as a percentage of new-car price was 4.4%; today it’s 2.5%. Relatedly, the largest US bank just reduced to zero the cost of stock and ETF trades for some of its customers, and a brokerage…

Beautiful Bowties

08/28/2018

Today, National Bow Tie Day, know that bow ties are most popular in MS, SC and AL. Just 22% of them sold are self-tied and only 1% of men can tie one! 41% of bow ties are black, followed by…

Turkish Travails

08/27/2018

While many emerging nations suffer from some of the conditions that ail Turkey, no other nation has them all. These problems include a huge budget deficit, the second highest current-account deficit among emerging market nations, huge externally denominated sovereign and…

Spectacular Sox

08/24/2018

The Friday File: This year’s Boston Red Sox are, to date, one of the best baseball teams ever assembled. Their current .698 winning percentage puts them on pace for 113 wins; fourth most in a season. The only teams with…

Benign Billets

08/23/2018

July new housing sales were slightly disappointing at 627,000, but they’re up 7.2% YTD and should end 2018 up at least 6% compared to 2017. For the macro economy, it doesn’t much matter. Back in 2003, well before the Housing…

Disparate Dineros

08/22/2018

While income disparities are large in the US, they are large in the EU too. Based on purchasing power, the region of Inner London – West has the highest per capita GDP in the EU at 611% of the average,…

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