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Barbie Billions

08/18/2023

The Friday File: The movie Barbie has generated over $1 billion in non-inflation adjusted global box office sales, making Barbillion the first solo female-directed movie to cross this milestone. But Captain Marvel (2019) co-directed by Anna Boden had $1.131 billion…

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Abode Activity

08/17/2023

July housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annualized pace of 1,452,000, slightly below the four-year average of 1,489,000. Interestingly, house size keeps shrinking from a peak of 2,519 sq. ft. in 15Q1 to a 21Q4 post-Covid peak of 2,335…

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Debt Dollars

08/16/2023

In 23Q2, total household debt was $17.06 trillion, up trivially from $17.05 trillion in 23Q1. Compared to 19Q4 when it was $14.16 trillion, debt has risen $2.9 trillion, 21.3%. While that seems substantial, inflation from 19Q4 through 23Q2 was 17.6%,…

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Retail Report

08/15/2023

While July retail sales came in strong at 0.7% M-o-M, inflation-adjusted Y-o-Y growth was -0.12, the sixth straight month of Y-o-Y declines. Moreover, after reaching an inflation-adjusted 4/21 sales peak of $232.7 billion, sales have been flat since. Lastly, retail…

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Domicile Delinquencies

08/14/2023

The delinquency rate for mortgages on one-to-four-unit properties fell to 3.37% at the end of 23Q2. That’s down 27bps Y-o-Y and is the lowest delinquency rate since record keeping began in 1979. The Y-o-Y conventional loan delinquency rate fell 35bps,…

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Awesome Asteroids

08/11/2023

The Friday File: The largest asteroid crater on Earth is the South African Vredefort Crater that measures 186 miles in diameter. The second largest is the Chicxulub Crater in Mexico with a diameter of 112 miles. Canada has the third…

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Inflation Increment

08/10/2023

Inflation for the year ending 7/23 as measured by the CPI rose from 3% to 3.2%. While that appears to be a setback, core CPI ticked down from 4.8% Y-o-Y in June to 4.7% Y-o-Y in July, its best reading…

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Remote Results

08/09/2023

For the year ending 5/23, firms allowing their employees to fully work from home increased staffing levels by 5.6%. Mandating one day in the office/week reduced growth to 4.8%, requiring two days/week lowered it to 4.7%. Working three days/week at…

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Future Fix

08/08/2023

While there’s no chance of getting control of the yawning budget deficit with elections 15 months away, don’t give up hope. I suspect the next Congress and the next presidential election winner will begin to fix things if only because…

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Work Worry

08/07/2023

July net job growth cooled to 187,000, the second straight month below 200,000, and the weakest two-month performance, excluding Covid, since 19Q4. The cooling’s good, but the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% due to an aging population, a near 53-year…

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