The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Flat Financing

12/22/2015

Cash home sales were 32.5% of all transactions in September, down from 35.9% 12 months ago. Cash sales peaked in 1/11 at 46.6% and have historically averaged 25% of sales. At the current rate of improvement, cash transactions should return…

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Tiny Taxes

12/21/2015

In 2014, federal, state and local government tax collections totaled 26% of US GDP. The average rate across the 34 most highly developed nations is 34.4%. The USA was fourth lowest in the level of taxation, ahead of only South…

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Super Star

12/18/2015

The Friday File: According to a Washington University professor, if one were to assume Emperor Palpatine was fiscally conservative, destroying the second Death Star and with it the Galactic government, the Rebels probably caused bond defaults of $500 quintillion. Absent…

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Problematic Peg

12/17/2015

China’s wish to peg the yuan to a basket of currencies and not just the dollar is an attempt to weaken its currency, but the strengthening dollar makes the task harder. To keep the existing peg, China’s central bank (PBoC)…

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Fed Finesse

12/16/2015

Earlier today, the Fed raised the fed funds rate by 0.25%, the first rate rise in almost a decade and seven years to the day since rates first hit zero. The S&P 500 jumped almost 1.5% and long bonds barely…

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Renminbi Realty

12/15/2015

While the Chinese economy is cooling, Chinese buyers are pouring into US real estate. In 2015, their $30 billion in purchases will equal all purchases by Canadians, Indians, Mexicans, and the British, the next four most popular nationalities. Chinese buyers…

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Resilient Retail

12/14/2015

Given that consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of GDP and retail sales account for one-third of that, the 0.2% rise in November retail sales was superficially disappointing. But Y-o-Y inflation is zero! Were inflation just 2.3%, retail sales growth would…

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Extended Executives

12/11/2015

The Friday File: This Monday, Governor Terry Branstad of Iowa will become the longest serving governor in US history at 7,640 days, almost 21 years, and will surpass the long held record of Vice President and Revolutionary War General George…

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Goofy Gold

12/10/2015

It’s remarkable that several Republican presidential candidates advocate a return to the gold standard. Doing so would outsource our money supply growth and thus monetary policy to the world’s largest gold producers including China, Russia, Peru and South Africa. And…

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Fed Futures

12/09/2015

With a Fed rate hike a forgone conclusion, the next three issues of concern are: how gradually will the Fed raise rates, when does the Fed stop reinvesting interest and principal from their $4 trillion portfolio of Treasuries and agency…

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