The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


PARISIAN POUNDS

08/02/2024

The Friday File: The lightest Olympic athletes are Marathon and 10,000m runners. Female contestants average about 110 lbs., male competitors average about 135 lbs. The next lightest athletes compete in the 5,000m, followed by the 20km walk, and then the…

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NATURALLY NVIDIA

08/01/2024

Yesterday, Nvidia’s market capitalization jumped $329 billion, the largest one-day rise. The increase alone would make the firm the 23rd largest in the S&P 500. The second largest one-day rise is $276.6 billion on 2/22/24 by Nvidia. The third largest…

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POWELL POWER

07/31/2024

Unsurprisingly, the Fed left rates unchanged but put markets on notice that a mid-September cut is highly likely. The Fed is now, finally, concerned not just about inflation, which they described almost benignly as just “somewhat elevated,” but more importantly,…

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RESTRICTIVE RATES

07/30/2024

When the Fed began raising rates in 3/22, Fed funds was 0.125% and the CPI was 8.5%, thus the real Fed funds rate was a very stimulative negative 8.375%. Today Fed funds is 5.375% and the CPI is 3%. Thus,…

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STELLAR SPENDING

07/29/2024

While US consumer spending remains strong, incomes are not keeping up. Inflation-adjusted Y-o-Y income growth has slid from 5.3% a year ago, to 3.8% in 12/23 to 1% now, while real spending is up 2.6% Y-o-Y, a huge 1.6 percentage…

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RECORD RUN

07/26/2024

The Friday file: On 7/26/1903, Horatio Jackson was the first to cross the US by car. The journey from San Francisco to Manhattan with a mechanic took 63 days. The current record is 25 hours and 39 minutes, set in…

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GALLOPING GDP

07/25/2024

The first estimate for 24Q2 real GDP came in at a surprisingly strong 2.8% annualized rate, well above expectations of, at most, 2%, and well up from 1.4% in 24Q1. The result was due to rising inventories, strong consumer spending…

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DOCTOR DOLLARS

07/24/2024

The cost of virtual consultation with a primary care physician is $99. Seeing the same doctor in their office raises the cost of service to $170. If you go to an urgent-care center/clinic the cost to provide care rises to…

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FOREIGN FUNDS

07/23/2024

For the year end 3/24, foreigners purchased 54,300 homes, down 36% Y-o-Y, and the lowest number since recordkeeping began in 2009. The biggest impediments; a strong dollar and limited inventory. Dollar volume fell 21% to $42 billion despite an average…

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SINGLE-FAMILY SLOWDOWN

07/22/2024

While June housing starts were up 3% M-o-M to a 1.353-million-unit annualized rate, the rise was all volatile multifamily driven. Single-family starts fell 2.2% and are now down four months in a row. Moreover, June starts came in at 980,000…

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