70 Words

Bad Seeds

03/09/2012

The Friday File: Opium production in Afghanistan jumped 61% in ’11 to 5,800 metric tons. The farm value is $1.4 billion, 9% of GDP! The street value, which includes profits for the Taliban, refiners, warlords, politicians and cartels, is much…

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Unemployment is not the Story!

03/08/2012

The unemployment rate is falling fast, but for the wrong reasons. In 1/12 the labor force participation rate was 63.7%, the lowest level since ’82 and way below the 66% when the recession began. Had the LFPR rate not fallen,…

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Romney Gets Republican Nod

03/07/2012

Romney will win the Republican nomination. So far, 582 delegates (25% of the 2,286 total) have been awarded. Romney has won 331, or 57%, while Santorum has picked up 139, or 24%. With 1,704 delegates left to award, Santorum must…

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Olympic Stupidity

03/06/2012

The ’12 London Summer Olympics will bring little if any net benefits. Sure, 40K athletes and coaches will come, but regular tourists will stay away, bookings are already down, and 20% of locals plan to be out of town to…

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Inject Some Sanity

03/05/2012

Vaccine shortages; This industry has very high fixed costs to develop a vaccine (labs are costly), high fixed costs to produce a batch (it takes about a year), trivial marginal costs to make an extra dose within a batch (increasing…

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Pig Pen

03/02/2012

The Friday File: McDonald’s is pushing its pork suppliers to stop confining breeding sows, of which there are 5.7 million, in gestation stalls, and instead place them in large pens. While this sounds great, it costs money and studies show…

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Money for Nothing

03/01/2012

In Europe, Mario Draghi, the head of the ECB, is flooding banks with a $1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion) at 1% in an effort to recapitalize them and maintain liquidity. Many banks are using this money to buy sovereign debt…

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Greek Gamble

02/29/2012

The latest Greek bailout is shaping up as a race between a fast shrinking economy and better access to credit and lower interest payments that hopefully encourage private sector growth. The problem is absent rapid growth in exports and tourism,…

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Gas Up, GDP Down

02/28/2012

Every penny rise in gas costs the economy $1.8 billion/yr. With gas at $3.65, 40 cents more than a year ago, that’s a $72 billion tax. If prices rise another 40 cents, bringing the price within six cents of the…

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Baby, Baby

02/27/2012

New research shows that a 10% rise in house prices leads to a 1% decrease in births among non-homeowners, who must now save more and do so by delaying having kids. However, this negative effect is more than offset by…

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