70 Words

Premium Performance

12/28/2023

While the cost of gasoline has fallen from a high of $5.01/gallon in 6/22 to $3.07/gallon now, the differential between regular and premium, the premium ‘premium’ keeps rising. In 1994, the premium was $0.20/gallon, where it remained as recently as…

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Bizarre Bull

12/27/2023

While the equity bull market has been unstoppable, it looks unusual. 72% of equities in the S&P 500 have underperformed the index. This is the highest total since at least 2000. 2020 was the next worst year when slightly over…

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Price Performance

12/26/2023

National home prices rose 0.65% M-o-M in October and 4.8% Y-o-Y, according to the Case-Shiller Index. “October” is a three-month average of August, September, and October closing prices, so there is some lag in this otherwise excellent index. For the…

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Poor Pistons

12/22/2023

The Friday File: Last night, Detroit’s NBA Pistons lost to the Utah Jazz for their 25th straight loss. Their last win was on 10/28/23. They’re now one loss shy of tying the NBA single-season record shared by the 2010/11 Cleveland…

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Delinquency Data

12/21/2023

Freddie Mac reported that the October single-family delinquency rate was 0.54% and Fannie Mae reported the rate at 0.53%, both well below pre-pandemic lows and on par with the delinquency rates observed pre-Housing Bust. During Covid the rate peaked at…

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Holiday Hazard

12/20/2023

The percentage of adults in the Greatest Generation cohort who planned to take on debt to finance holiday spending, hardly a necessity, was under 5%. For Baby Boomers the percentage was higher at 14%. For Gen X the percentage was…

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Car Cash

12/19/2023

Between 8/12 and 7/20, used car prices were stable, but starting in 8/20, used car price inflation skyrocketed. For the year ending 7/21 inflation was a stunning 41.4%. However, by 7/22 Y-o-Y inflation was just 6.5%, and since 11/22 prices…

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Property Prices

12/18/2023

Since peaking in 3/20, the price of institutional-quality commercial real estate has declined by an average of 22%. The biggest decline has been in office space, which has seen prices decline 35%, followed by apartments which are down 30%. Over…

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Popular Pot

12/15/2023

The Friday File: In 1969, just 12% of Americans supported legalizing ganja. That percentage quickly jumped to 28% by 1977 and remained at that level for 20 years. Since then, the percentage has steadily risen. 34% in 2001, 50% in…

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Claus Cash

12/14/2023

From 1950 through 2022, a period of 73 years, the average December Santa Claus stock market rally has averaged 1.443%. However, from 12/1 through 12/15 there has been, on average, no gain. Santa seems to arrive on or about 12/16…

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