70 Words

Cable Contraction

02/07/2024

In 1980, the number of households with pay-TV subscriptions including cable, satellite, and telecom firms totaled 20 million. By 1989 it was 50 million, in 2000 it surpassed 75 million, and the peak was 100 million between 2009-2014. Since then,…

Read More

Data Divergence

02/06/2024

Despite job growth of 353,000, the January employment report contained troubling data. Ignoring weather-related phenomena including the length of the workweek, which shrank, hourly earnings, that jumped, and personal income, which was flat, the data is showing a troubling rise…

Read More

Excellent Employment

02/05/2024

Employers created a stunningly strong 353,000 new jobs in January, and December employment was revised up from 216,000 to a hefty 333,000. While freakishly cold weather and seasonal adjustment factors undoubtedly had an impact, the economy isn’t rolling over. Moreover,…

Read More

Checkout Choices

02/02/2024

The Friday File: When given a choice, 34% of the public prefer a self-checkout kiosk, 56% prefer a live cashier, and 10% don’t care. Among those 18-44, 48% prefer self-checkout, 37% prefer a cashier, 15% don’t care. For 45–54-year-olds, 30%…

Read More

Price Pickup

02/01/2024

While existing home sales are very weak, home prices keep rising. The Case-Shiller National Index was up 5.1% Y-o-Y in November, up from 4.7% Y-o-Y in October. Similarly, the FHFA Index saw home prices rise 6.6% Y-o-Y in November, up…

Read More

Monetary Moves

01/31/2024

While the Fed didn’t lower interest rates after today’s meeting, it suggested that cuts are on the way. However, by reiterating that he wants to see continued declines in inflationary pressures before the Fed cuts rates, Powell gave markets no…

Read More

Real Rates

01/30/2024

At present, the Fed funds rate is 5.375% and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure is 2.6%, making the real Fed funds rate, Fed funds minus inflation, 2.775%. Dating back to 1954, the median real Fed funds rate has been 2.8%…

Read More

Passive Performance

01/29/2024

The amount of money in all passively managed (index) U.S. mutual funds and ETFs recently surpassed $13.3 trillion. That exceeds, for the first time, the amount in actively managed mutual funds and ETFs at $13.2 trillion. The amount in passively…

Read More

Red Rocks

01/26/2024

The Friday File: The most visited entertainment venue of any type or size for the CY2023 was London’s O2 arena with 2.4 million tickets sold, followed by Mexico City’s Foro Sol Stadium with 2 million tickets sold. In third, NYC’s…

Read More

GDP Growth

01/25/2024

The U.S. economy grew by an unexpectedly strong 3.3% in 23Q4, and growth for the year was 3.1%, well above expectations and the dismal 0.7% in 2022. Credit belongs to consumers who were unrelenting in their spending, charging, borrowing, and…

Read More

Recent Posts

Categories

Archives