70 Words

COMMISSION CONSEQUENCES

03/18/2024

While the long-term impact of NAR’s agreement to end litigation brought on behalf of sellers, related to broker commissions, may take a while to become apparent, the immediate results were clear. On Friday, the day the agreement was announced, the…

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DOG DAYS

03/15/2024

The Friday File: A study of 584,734 dogs has found small, long-nosed, female dogs have the longest average lifespan at 13.3 years. The median canine lifespan is 12.5 years. Dogs with flat faces live an average of 11.2 years. Interestingly,…

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TAX TOTALS

03/14/2024

As of 3/1/24, the IRS issued 36.2 million refunds versus 42 million refunds Y-o-Y. However, tax filing season began on 1/23/23 compared to 1/29/24. That said, so far, the IRS has processed 53.2 million returns vs. 54.3 million last year.…

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POOR POLICY

03/13/2024

The new White House pilot program designed to save homeowners money by waiving the requirement for title insurance on some refinancings by some lenders is, while well intended, ill advised. It’s because at the margin this increases housing demand, which…

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RECOVERY RATE

03/12/2024

Since 1945, when equities retreat 5%-9.9%, on average it takes 1.5 months for markets to recover and recoup all losses. When markets experience a correction, a decline of 10%-19.9%, it takes on average 4 months to recover, and when they…

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DETRIMENTAL DATA

03/11/2024

February net job creation was a strong 275,000. However, January’s growth was dramatically revised down to 229,000 from 353,000, heaping more doubt on the quality of the monthly net employment numbers. Therefore, focus on the unemployment rate, which at 3.9%…

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COUNTRY CASH

03/08/2024

The Friday File: The wealthiest nation is Luxembourg with per capital GDP of $135,605, followed by Ireland at $112,248 and Switzerland at $102,865. No other nations exceeded $100,000. Norway was next at $99,266. Singapore was 5th at $87,884 then, Qatar…

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Weakening Wages

03/07/2024

In 1/23, when the labor market was sizzling, Y-o-Y wage growth for those employed during the previous year peaked at 6.4%. Among those who changed jobs it was 7.7%, and among those who didn’t change jobs it was 5.7%. By…

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GDP Growth

03/06/2024

24Q1 GDP growth is slipping. The St. Louis Fed has reduced their latest estimate from 1.4% (annualized) to 0.9%. Not to be outdone, the NY Fed has reduced its forecast from 2.8% to 2.3%, and the Atlanta Fed has pushed…

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Continuing Claims

03/05/2024

For the week ending 2/17/24, continuing unemployment insurance claims were 1.88 million. While very low, this is their highest level since the week ending 12/11/21. Moreover, the percentage of people filing for unemployment insurance has recently fallen from 36% to…

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