The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Military Memorial
The Friday File: On 5/5/1868, the Grand Army of the Republic, an advocacy group of Union Army Civil War veterans, established Decoration Day as a day to decorate graves of the war dead with flowers. Following WWI, Memorial Day was…
Read MoreBusy Bodies
In 3/07, the unemployment rate hit a cyclical low of 4.7%. Today it’s 5.4% and a rate of 4.7% will soon be reached. The question is when. Assuming employment growth of 211,000/month, the 3-year average monthly rate, the unemployment rate…
Read MoreHot Houses
While housing starts jumped an impressive 20% in April compared to March and permits bounced 10%, hold the applause. March was an unexpectedly lousy month, and through April 2015 all housing starts are up just 5.5% year-over-year; single-family starts are…
Read MoreEducational Enrollment
Despite falling exports, rising inventories, declining industrial production, poor corporate profit growth and weak corporate investment, the labor market is strengthening. The number of students enrolled at four-year for-profit colleges and two-year public colleges, both educational institutions that cater to…
Read MoreReduced Retail
While retail and food service sales have fallen four of the last five months, retail sales are a lousy predictor of anything. During the Great Recession, retail sales turned negative fully eight months after the recession began! Moreover, at $5.2…
Read MoreMunching McDonald’s
The Friday File: 75 years ago today, brothers Dick and Maurice McDonald opened the first McDonald’s in San Bernardino, CA. In 1948 they reduced their menu and sped up service, inventing fast food. In 1949 came fries, and in 1961…
Read MoreCity Citizenry
In 2013, 62.7% of the US population lived in incorporated cities (ICs), up from 62.3% in 2010 and 61.9% in 2000. ICs occupy 3.5% of US land area. The West is most urban, with 76.4% of its population living in…
Read MoreConservative Conundrum
Prime Minister Cameron’s strong victory in U.K. elections last week elated markets as the Tories are considered better able to shrink the stubbornly large UK budget deficit than Labour. But market tranquility will be brief. The rise of the Scottish…
Read MoreGrinding Growth
Friday’s job report showed continued but grindingly slow labor market improvement. Net job growth totaled 223,000 which was OK and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4% from 5.5%. Those working part-time because they can’t find full time work fell by…
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