The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Housing Health

10/26/2015

Despite today’s weak new home sales data, YTD sales are at 392,000, up 18% compared to January-September 2014. Last September, 37,000 new homes were sold; 36,000 were sold last month. The peak, 99,000 in 9/05; the trough; 24,000 in 9/11.…

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Computer Costs

10/23/2015

The Friday File: According to the CPI, the quality adjusted price for PCs and computer peripherals declined a stunning 96% between 12/97 and 8/15. Back then, an Intel Pentium 300 MHz processor was tops and desktop computers sold for over…

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Rate Rationale

10/22/2015

The US economy is slowing but not severely, moreover some of it’s due to a rise in inventories that’s hurting manufacturing and some is due to the rising dollar. That said, Q3 GDP will not exceed a feeble 1.5%. Additionally,…

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Going Ghana

10/21/2015

To glimpse the pain developing nations are suffering due to the Chinese economic slowdown, look no further than Ghana. Their biggest exports, gold, oil and cocoa are all down. As a result, they are running a huge budget deficit of…

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Dwelling Data

10/20/2015

While today’s report shows residential construction improving, economically it’s largely irrelevant. In 2005, single-family construction was single-handedly 3.4% of GDP and all new residential spending was 6.7%. Now, single-family activity is 1.3% of GDP and all residential activity is 3.3%.…

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Debt Divergence

10/19/2015

Fear that the US might not raise the debt ceiling is making itself felt. Yields on Treasury bills maturing 11/5/15 and 11/12/15, the date falling immediately after the government runs out of money on 11/3/15, rose slightly, with other maturities…

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Late-Night League

10/16/2015

The Friday File: Four weeks into Stephen Colbert’s new late-night TV show, he is running neck-and-neck with Jimmy Fallon with 3.9 million viewers, compared to Fallon’s 4.0 million. Colbert has 1.2 million 18-49 year-olds while Fallon has 1.5 million. They…

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Chinese Cooling

10/15/2015

Prices at the factory gate fell for the 43rd straight month in China as the manufacturing sector continues to battle massive overcapacity and weak global and domestic demand. At the same time, Chinese imports fell for the 11th straight month…

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Unnecessary Upskilling

10/14/2015

When the local unemployment rate rises by one percentage point, the share of jobs requiring a bachelor’s rises by 0.44% and 2+ years of experience by 0.79%. Call this “opportunistic upskilling.” When the reverse occurs, there’s a 0.2% decrease in…

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Federal Finances

10/13/2015

The federal government ran a deficit of $435 billion in FY15, $48 billion less than in FY14. The deficit in FY15 was 2.4% of GDP, its sixth consecutive yearly decline, and slightly below the average of the past 50 years.…

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