The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Housing Health
Despite today’s weak new home sales data, YTD sales are at 392,000, up 18% compared to January-September 2014. Last September, 37,000 new homes were sold; 36,000 were sold last month. The peak, 99,000 in 9/05; the trough; 24,000 in 9/11.…
Read MoreComputer Costs
The Friday File: According to the CPI, the quality adjusted price for PCs and computer peripherals declined a stunning 96% between 12/97 and 8/15. Back then, an Intel Pentium 300 MHz processor was tops and desktop computers sold for over…
Read MoreRate Rationale
The US economy is slowing but not severely, moreover some of it’s due to a rise in inventories that’s hurting manufacturing and some is due to the rising dollar. That said, Q3 GDP will not exceed a feeble 1.5%. Additionally,…
Read MoreGoing Ghana
To glimpse the pain developing nations are suffering due to the Chinese economic slowdown, look no further than Ghana. Their biggest exports, gold, oil and cocoa are all down. As a result, they are running a huge budget deficit of…
Read MoreDwelling Data
While today’s report shows residential construction improving, economically it’s largely irrelevant. In 2005, single-family construction was single-handedly 3.4% of GDP and all new residential spending was 6.7%. Now, single-family activity is 1.3% of GDP and all residential activity is 3.3%.…
Read MoreDebt Divergence
Fear that the US might not raise the debt ceiling is making itself felt. Yields on Treasury bills maturing 11/5/15 and 11/12/15, the date falling immediately after the government runs out of money on 11/3/15, rose slightly, with other maturities…
Read MoreLate-Night League
The Friday File: Four weeks into Stephen Colbert’s new late-night TV show, he is running neck-and-neck with Jimmy Fallon with 3.9 million viewers, compared to Fallon’s 4.0 million. Colbert has 1.2 million 18-49 year-olds while Fallon has 1.5 million. They…
Read MoreChinese Cooling
Prices at the factory gate fell for the 43rd straight month in China as the manufacturing sector continues to battle massive overcapacity and weak global and domestic demand. At the same time, Chinese imports fell for the 11th straight month…
Read MoreUnnecessary Upskilling
When the local unemployment rate rises by one percentage point, the share of jobs requiring a bachelor’s rises by 0.44% and 2+ years of experience by 0.79%. Call this “opportunistic upskilling.” When the reverse occurs, there’s a 0.2% decrease in…
Read MoreFederal Finances
The federal government ran a deficit of $435 billion in FY15, $48 billion less than in FY14. The deficit in FY15 was 2.4% of GDP, its sixth consecutive yearly decline, and slightly below the average of the past 50 years.…
Read MoreRecent Posts
- THANKSGIVING THOUGHTS 11/27/2024
- ELECTRIC ENHANCEMENTS 11/26/2024
- HOORAY HOUSING 11/25/2024
- NCAA NUMBERS 11/22/2024
- DECLINING DEBT 11/21/2024
Categories
- 70 Words (3,529)
- Articles (7)
- FEATURED (3)
- MEDIA APPEARANCES (37)
- Uncategorized (5)
Archives
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- January 2005
- March 202