The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Crummy Conservatorship

12/08/2015

Since bailing out Fannie and Freddie to the tune of $188 billion, the Treasury has taken all their profit and is slowly taking all their capital. By 2018, F&F will have none. Unfortunately, F&F are becoming less profitable as they…

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Wonderful Work

12/07/2015

Friday’s labor numbers were excellent! 211,000 net new jobs, upward revisions totaling 35,000 for September and October, an increase in the labor force participation rate from 62.4% to 62.5%, and decent year-over-year wage growth of 2.3%. Better yet, construction added…

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Solid Sleep

12/04/2015

The Friday File: After closely observing three pre-agricultural groups, one from Tanzania, one from southern Africa and one from Bolivia, researchers learned that these peoples averaged 6.5 hours of sleep/day. Moreover, the groups stayed awake for an average of 3.3…

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Dismal Deposits

12/03/2015

To boost European economic activity, the ECB lowered the rate it pays banks that have deposits with it from -0.2% to -0.3%! These negative returns may encourage more lending, but I’m skeptical. It will, however, weaken the euro, boosting exports…

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Meek Manufacturing

12/02/2015

US manufacturing activity contracted in November, the first monthly decline since 11/12, the second since 07/09. Manufacturing is sputtering due to the strengthening dollar, anemic global growth, low commodity prices and poor capital spending due to lousy corporate profit growth.…

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Receding Retail

12/01/2015

Between 1970 and 2009, US retail space grew 54% and peaked at 49.8 square feet/person. Since then, it’s fallen for six straight years and is now 48.3 square feet/person. Only one mall of at least a million square feet has…

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Happy Hoteliers

11/30/2015

Happy Hoteliers 2015 is shaping up to be the best year ever for hotels, better than the record year of 2000. Occupancy rates then were 66.9% YTD, they are now 67.9%. Year-to-date the average daily rate for an occupied room…

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False Flights

11/27/2015

The Friday File: The busiest airport travel day of 2015 was August 7th, with 2.91 million sold seats. The day before Thanksgiving was the 121st busiest airport travel day of 2015. That said, November 29th, the Sunday after Thanksgiving will…

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Big Bird

11/25/2015

In 1960, the average weight of a commercial turkey was 16.8 pounds. By 1996 it was 23.7 pounds and today, thanks to the miracle of selective breeding, it’s 30.4 pounds. Because of the enormous rise in average weight, the number…

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Increasing Inventory

11/24/2015

While Q3 GDP growth is now pegged at 2.1%, up from the first estimate of 1.5% last month, the revisions mix wasn’t great. The biggest contributor to the rise, inventory growth. This suggests Q4 GDP growth will be slightly weaker…

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