The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
Crummy Conservatorship
Since bailing out Fannie and Freddie to the tune of $188 billion, the Treasury has taken all their profit and is slowly taking all their capital. By 2018, F&F will have none. Unfortunately, F&F are becoming less profitable as they…
Read MoreWonderful Work
Friday’s labor numbers were excellent! 211,000 net new jobs, upward revisions totaling 35,000 for September and October, an increase in the labor force participation rate from 62.4% to 62.5%, and decent year-over-year wage growth of 2.3%. Better yet, construction added…
Read MoreSolid Sleep
The Friday File: After closely observing three pre-agricultural groups, one from Tanzania, one from southern Africa and one from Bolivia, researchers learned that these peoples averaged 6.5 hours of sleep/day. Moreover, the groups stayed awake for an average of 3.3…
Read MoreDismal Deposits
To boost European economic activity, the ECB lowered the rate it pays banks that have deposits with it from -0.2% to -0.3%! These negative returns may encourage more lending, but I’m skeptical. It will, however, weaken the euro, boosting exports…
Read MoreMeek Manufacturing
US manufacturing activity contracted in November, the first monthly decline since 11/12, the second since 07/09. Manufacturing is sputtering due to the strengthening dollar, anemic global growth, low commodity prices and poor capital spending due to lousy corporate profit growth.…
Read MoreReceding Retail
Between 1970 and 2009, US retail space grew 54% and peaked at 49.8 square feet/person. Since then, it’s fallen for six straight years and is now 48.3 square feet/person. Only one mall of at least a million square feet has…
Read MoreHappy Hoteliers
Happy Hoteliers 2015 is shaping up to be the best year ever for hotels, better than the record year of 2000. Occupancy rates then were 66.9% YTD, they are now 67.9%. Year-to-date the average daily rate for an occupied room…
Read MoreFalse Flights
The Friday File: The busiest airport travel day of 2015 was August 7th, with 2.91 million sold seats. The day before Thanksgiving was the 121st busiest airport travel day of 2015. That said, November 29th, the Sunday after Thanksgiving will…
Read MoreIncreasing Inventory
While Q3 GDP growth is now pegged at 2.1%, up from the first estimate of 1.5% last month, the revisions mix wasn’t great. The biggest contributor to the rise, inventory growth. This suggests Q4 GDP growth will be slightly weaker…
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