Econ70

Modern Mores

09/13/2021

Non-marital childbearing has increased significantly among women of all educational levels. Over the last quarter-century however, the largest increase is among college-educated women 32-38. In 1996, the percentage was 4%, today it is 24.5%. Among women 32-38 with only a…

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City Characters

09/10/2021

The Friday File: The shortest city name in 28 states has three letters; in 17 states it has four letters. Here is where it gets interesting. In three states, CT (Derby), DE (Dover) and NH (Dover), the shortest city name…

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Covid Coverage

09/09/2021

177.4 million Americans have been fully vaccinated, 53.4% of the population. 40 million cases of Covid-19 have been reported. Assuming no one gets Covid-19 twice, that 53.4% of those testing positive for Covid-19 are vaccinated, and that reported cases are…

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Money Mayhem

09/08/2021

The US Treasury will, unless the debt ceiling is raised, start running out of money around Halloween. The term of Fed Chairman Powell ends on 1/31/22. President Biden must realistically announce his decision before Thanksgiving. Lastly, Congress must pass a…

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Labor Lost

09/07/2021

The US Economy added 235,000 jobs in August, well below the 700,000 expected, but decent. Blame it on the Delta variant and labor shortages. The leisure and hospitality sector, which has averaged 350,000 new jobs/month through July, added none in…

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Lauding Labor

09/03/2021

The Friday File: Labor Day became an official national holiday on 6/28/1894 when President Cleveland signed a bill into law during the infamous and deadly Pullman strike. Back then, the work week was from Monday to Saturday and was 60-65…

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Fed Flexibility

09/02/2021

Financial markets are jittery about the Fed’s plans to taper its monthly purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, not so much because tapering itself is likely to raise rates, because it won’t. Rather, markets fear that the end of tapering…

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Social Security

09/01/2021

The latest projections for Social Security and Medicare find, somewhat counterintuitively, that the combined funds will run out of money in 2034, a year earlier than previously expected, due in no small part to Covid-19. While the pandemic-caused spike in…

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Inflationary Impulse

08/31/2021

Inflation is not all the same. Commodities like soybeans, lumber, oil, and even used cars and silicon chips can fluctuate sharply but have little, if any, momentum. Conversely, wages and movie tickets tend to rise slowly, but importantly, can create…

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Employment Effects

08/30/2021

Congress increased the size and duration of unemployment benefits and the universe of unemployment insurance recipients. In June and July, 26 states ended some or all those benefits prematurely to encourage the unemployed to return to work. This patchwork allows…

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