Month: April 2015

Warming Wages

04/30/2015

Although Q1 GDP rose just 0.2%, the labor market continues to improve. First-time claims for unemployment were just 262,000 last week, the lowest level since 4/00, while the less volatile four-week moving average is at a level last seen in…

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Worried Whales

04/29/2015

While the world population of barnyard animals continually grows, the population of whales dwindles. The reason is property rights. Most goats, cows or pigs belong to someone with a strong incentive to protect them. However, whales are owned by no…

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Labor Lost

04/28/2015

In 11/43, manufacturing employment (ME) hit a record 16.6 million and 22 years later in 7/65, hit a new record of 16.7 million. ME then grew and peaked at 19.6 million in 6/79. By the start of the Great Recession…

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Power Play

04/27/2015

In 2013, proved US oil reserves hit a record 36.5 billion barrels and natural gas reserves reached a record 354 trillion cubic feet. However, the level of reserves varies over time. Exploration and technological advances increase them, while production reduces…

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Flat Fiz

04/24/2015

The Friday File: In 2014, flavored, unflavored, carbonated and non-carbonated non-alcoholic beverage sales in the US fell by 1% to 12.76 billion gallons, or 40 gallons/person, the 10th consecutive year of declining volume. The top seller, Coke with a 17.3%…

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Incentivizing Iran

04/23/2015

The key is less the rollback of the Iranian nuclear program, but more the ability to monitor it in real time. Absent that, it will be impossible to determine if the Iranians are being honest and for us to impose…

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World Worry

04/22/2015

For those who enjoy worrying about global economic health, here is a handy checklist. Macroeconomic risks have declined, but easy credit and low interest rates have caused pension funds and insurance companies to chase yield and in the process make…

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Working Welfare

04/21/2015

Perhaps surprisingly, 56% of federal and state welfare program spending (EITC, Medicaid, TANF and food stamps) went to households headed by a working adult. 52% of fast-food workers receive government assistance, 48% of home care workers, 46% of child-care workers…

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Dreadful Drought

04/20/2015

The California drought can be overcome with a grand compromise. Shift some water from agriculture to residential use. Purify wastewater into drinking water, recycle graywater to be reused as irrigation, and improve stormwater retention. Simultaneously, raise the price of water,…

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Inflationary Income

04/17/2015

The Friday File: The Washington Nationals recently signed hurler Max Sherzer to a mind-blowing seven-year $210 million contract, payable over 14 years. Sherzer will receive $15 million/year. Beyond Sherzer’s performance, this is a bet on expected long-term inflation. If inflation…

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