Month: September 2013

Fed Head Fiasco

09/16/2013

The biggest loser in the current Fed Chairman Sweepstakes is the Fed. Simply considering Summers for the head Fed job politicizes a job that should be non-partisan. Arthur Burns, appointed by Nixon in 1970, was the last Chairman that was…

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Going, Going, Gone!

09/13/2013

The Friday File: After travelling for 36 years and 12 billion miles, NASA just confirmed that on August 25, 2012 (yes 2012), Voyager 1 became the first human-made object to depart the solar system. It’s so far from earth it…

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Oily Business

09/12/2013

Crude oil prices are up 6% since Syria took center stage on 8/21/13. They had already risen 15% in the prior four months due to rising demand and a 2.7 million barrels/day (bbl/d) reduction in supply in August. But traditionally,…

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Disability Disincentive

09/11/2013

One reason the labor force participation rate is so low is the explosive growth in those receiving Social Security Disability Insurance. Since 1980, the percentage of 20-64 year olds on SSDI grew from 2.3% to 4.7%. Half the rise is…

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Taper Tiger

09/10/2013

With a drop in the labor force participation rate to 63.2%, its lowest level since 8/78, the creation of only 169,000 net new jobs in August and revisions subtracting 74,000 new jobs in June and July, it’s now a toss-up…

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Lots of Labor

09/09/2013

The best news from the August employment report was that private payroll hours jumped 0.3%. While that seems small, had employers kept hours worked unchanged and hired more workers to do the added work, payrolls would have risen by 572,000…

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Let’s Make a Deal

09/06/2013

The Friday File: Imagine having to choose one of three lotto tickets, two of which are worthless and one of which is valuable. Now suppose one of the two tickets not chosen is removed since the host knows it’s worthless.…

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Healthy Demand

09/05/2013

Obamacare will reduce demand for employees at firms with slightly less than 50 workers and for hires wanting more than 30 hours/week of work. It’ll also reduce the supply of labor. Now, many employees work for health insurance. Once insurance…

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Shrinking Middle

09/04/2013

Middle class is defined as adults with household incomes between two-thirds and twice the national median, or between $40,000 and $120,000 today. In 1971, 61% of adults were middle class, 14% were upper class and 25% were lower class. Today,…

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A Dose of Coase

09/03/2013

Ron Coase, winner of the 1991 Nobel Prize in economics, died yesterday at 102. He was best known for his research into transaction costs and how it influences firm size, and the observation that a lack of property rights increases…

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