The Five Little PIIGS

In October ’08 European banks looked pretty healthy; they held few toxic US mortgage backed securities. But, this strength was a fiction. European banks met their Waterloo in large holdings of euro-denominated sovereign debt of the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). The banks assumed that Germany, France, and other strong European economies would…

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Italy is Next!

Greek PM Papandreou’s call for a referendum to approve additional financing has heightened fears that Greece will default. In response 10-yr Italian debt yields hit 6.33% a euro-era high and as much as 4.55% above super safe German bonds. Once the spread exceeds 4.5%, clearing houses can force investors who use Italian debt as collateral…

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