70 Words

Solid Starts

01/25/2021

In December, housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 1.67 million, their best since 9/06 and up 5.2% Y-o-Y. Single-family activity was up 28% Y-o-Y, multifamily starts fell 39%, both percentages being strongly Covid-19 influenced. Total starts…

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Presidential Pets

01/22/2021

The Friday File: This past Wednesday, not only did President and Dr. Jill Biden move into the White House, but so did Major, a three-year old rescue German Shepard, and Champ, a 13-year old German Shepard, the First Canines. There…

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Tax Tactics

01/21/2021

Higher taxes are probably in the offing but not right now. Raising taxes while crawling out from Sars-Cov-2 is unwise. And, with razor thin majorities in both chambers and Republicans against higher taxes, the entire Democratic caucus in each chamber…

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Presidential Precedents

01/20/2021

FDR was the first president to be sworn in on January 20th. It had been March 20th until then, but the 20th amendment changed that. Harry Truman’s second inauguration (pollsters expected Dewey’s first) was the first to be televised, Carter…

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Population Problem

01/19/2021

For the year ending 7/1/20, the US population grew just 0.35%, the slowest rate since at least 1900! Part of the reason is Covid-19 related, but the entire decade was a demographic bust due to an aging population and limited…

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Weak Week

01/18/2021

Initial weekly jobless claims, a proxy for job losses, rose by 181,000, its biggest rise since 8/22/20, almost five months ago. Moreover, retail sales fell for the third straight month, consumer confidence slipped slightly, and inflation be it the CPI,…

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Series Streaming

01/15/2021

Series Streaming The Friday File: Across Amazon, Disney+, Hulu and Netflix (but not HBO Max) the most streamed series was The Office at 57.1 billion minutes. A distant second was Grey’s Anatomy at 39.4, followed by Criminal Minds with 35.4.…

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Retail Reduction

01/14/2021

Prior to Covid-19, US retail vacancy rates were 4.5%. They are now 5.4% and are expected to end 2021 at 6.2%. As a result, retail rents, which had been rising by 2% per/year before the pandemic, are now expected to…

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Growth Gap

01/13/2021

The IMF says in 2020 global GDP shrank by a staggering 4.3% (a decline only previously experienced during the Depression and both World Wars), or -$3.6 trillion. Before Covid-19 hit, the IMF expected 2020 global GDP to grow by 2.5%,…

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Vehicle Volume

01/12/2021

Total US passenger vehicle sales in 2020 are expected to total 14.5 million, down from 17 million in 2019. Moreover, in 2020 car prices rose 5.1%, SUV prices rose 6.8%, and large SUVs rose a whopping 11.1%! Thus, the average…

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