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The labor market may, emphasis on “may”, be turning a corner! After deteriorating noticeably in December and early January, the number of workers filing for first-time unemployment claims, a proxy for layoffs, eased for the third straight week to a…

The Friday File: Super Bowl LV will be Tom Brady’s 10th, Stephen Gotkowski and Mike Lodish follow with six appearances each, 15 players have appeared in five SBs. Expanding the comparison to include franchises, only the Patriots, with 11 appearances,…

When a call option (which allows you to buy a stock at a fixed price for a fixed period) on, say, GameStop is purchased, another party must sell it. Rather than selling a naked call, the counter party (most often…

President Biden’s proposal to raise the minimum wage to $15/hour will have quite unequal effects. In high-cost states like DC, MA, CT, WA, NY, and MD where $15/hour is roughly 65% of the median wage, the impacts will be much…

Eurozone GDP fell 0.7% in 20Q4. While less severe than the contraction in spring 2020, this means eurozone GDP is 5.1% smaller than a year ago, compared to US GDP which is down just 2.5% compared to 19Q4. Worse, while…

Comparing total state employment in 12/19 to 12/20, the best performers are Utah and Alaska, each with a gain of 1%. Idaho and Kansas follow with no change. Arkansas, Indiana, Montana, South Dakota, Tennessee, and Wyoming have each seen employment…

The Friday File: Airplanes are not only expensive to buy, each B-2 costs $2 billion, they are also expensive to operate. The same B-2 costs $63 million/year to operate, the B-52 Stratofortress costs $25 million/year, and the B-1B Lancer, $24…

While this may be nothing but a stupid bubble, created by new technology such as Reddit/chat boards and Robinhood and the unintended consequences of low interest rates and massive liquidity due to overreliance on monetary policy, it could be the…

Existing-home sales jumped in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 6.76 million, the highest level since 2006. Usually, sales weaken in December but due to Covid-19 seasonality has disappeared. Had December’s sales of 540,000 occurred in July,…

The Fed, the ECB, and the BoJ have collectively increased balance sheets by $8 trillion since Sars-Cov-2’s debut. Last recession, it took the same central banks eight years to accumulate that much. With such large reserves, higher rates due to…