70 Words

Nutty Nickel

03/11/2022

The Friday File: With the price of nickel recently quintupling in value to $100,000/metric ton, a nickel is now worth about 16 cents in metal or “melt” value. Each nickel weighs five grams and contains 1.25 grams of nickel, worth…

Read More

Rising Rates

03/10/2022

While the Russian invasion of Ukraine is already raising inflationary pressures due to rising prices for a broad range of commodities including oil and wheat, long-term rates have counterintuitively fallen since the war began. This is because of a massive…

Read More

Decision Differences

03/09/2022

The Fed will raise rates a quarter point in the next week, the European Central Bank will move much slower. The EU economy was already meaningfully weaker than the US before Russia’s invasion. The US is the world’s #1 oil…

Read More

Petrol Prices

03/08/2022

The last time WTI oil exceeded $130/bbl, like it almost does now, was between 5/21/08 when it rose to $131.58/bbl and 7/21/08 when it fell to $131.43, peaking on 7/14/08 at $145.16/bbl. That resulted in gasoline peaking at $4.11/gallon on…

Read More

Employment Excellence

03/07/2022

Nonfarm payrolls grew by a gobsmacking 678,000 in February with upward revisions to December and January totaling 92,000. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.8% despite a rise in the labor force participation rate to a post-Covid high of 62.3%. With…

Read More

Food Freightage

03/04/2022

The Friday File: Among persons who’ve use food delivery services within the past year, the most popular is DoorDash with 54% of such persons using it. Second is Domino’s at 47%, then Uber Eats and Pizza Hut each at 37%.…

Read More

Wheat Wait

03/03/2022

Russia and Ukraine produce 25% of world wheat and 30% of exports. While last year’s crop has already been mostly exported, the bigger issue is the 2022 crop. If farmers can’t harvest and ship already planted production, global wheat prices…

Read More

Bland Baseball

03/02/2022

2022 will be the 4th time baseball has lost games due to a work stoppage. While average attendance/game declined in strike-shortened 1972 and 1981 it quickly recovered. However, it took 12 years to surpass the average attendance record of 31,256/game…

Read More

Spending Sustainability

03/01/2022

In 2/20, pre-Covid-19, real per capita personal income was $45,453. It then bounced wildly due to repeated stimulus checks and other expansionary fiscal policies peaking at $57,597 in 3/21. It’s since declined every month but one and is now $46,018,…

Read More

Crude Costs

02/28/2022

Russia currently produces 10 million/bbl of oil/day, about 10% of world production, making it the world’s third largest producer and the second largest exporter. Fear of those supplies being disrupted is causing oil prices to gyrate. Roughly speaking, every $10…

Read More

Recent Posts

Categories

Archives