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Divergent Data

09/19/2022

Last Thursday (9/15/22) perfectly encapsulated our economy. Retail sales were up 0.3% M-o-M, but the prior month was revised down to -0.4% from 0%. Industrial production declined, led by a 2.3% fall in utilities output, as higher electric bills reduced…

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Movie Machinations

09/16/2022

The Friday File: According to NATO (National Association of Theater Owners) in 1995 there were 7,151 indoor and 593 outdoor US cinema sites. Those locations had 26,995 indoor screens, 3.8 screens/site, and 848 outdoor screens, 1.4 screens/site. By 3/20, indoor…

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Rising Rents

09/15/2022

During 8/22, asking rents rose 0.4%, and while historically very high, they are way down from the 1.9% rise in 8/21. Pre-Covid, rent hikes in August were about 0.2%. Similarly, Y-o-Y asking rents are also declining. They increased 10.5% through…

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Sizable Strikes

09/14/2022

In a historically strong labor market, with two job openings/unemployed person, and a labor friendly administration in the White House, it’s unsurprising that in the first half of 2022 employees at 1,400 workplaces filed unionization petitions with the NLRB, up…

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Increasing Inflation

09/13/2022

While August CPI inflation was 8.3% Y-o-Y, down from 8.5% in July and 9.1% in June, it was disappointing; 8.1% is what was expected. More concerning, core inflation, which removes food and energy prices to get a fix on domestic…

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Waning Worth

09/12/2022

On 12/31/19, household and nonprofit organization net worth totaled $116.4 trillion, then quickly sank to $110.3 trillion by 3/31/20 due to the Covid-19 induced stock market decline. Over the next seven quarters, with the government stimulus and a rebounding economy,…

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Momentous Monarch

09/09/2022

The Friday File: On 09/08/22, Queen Elizabeth II died at 96. On the throne for 70 years, she was the longest reigning British monarch, surpassing the 63 years set by her great-great-grandmother Queen Victoria. Her son, now King Charles III,…

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European Energy

09/08/2022

With European energy prices stratospheric, the pressure on governments to intervene is profound. However, all solutions aren’t equal. Capping prices is the worst solution; it encourages consumption by making energy artificially cheap. A subsidy on the amount of energy consumed…

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Passenger Plethora

09/07/2022

The number of passengers going through a TSA checkpoint on 8/28/22 was 2,311,805 compared to 1,887,845 on 8/28/19, the first time 2019 totals were bested post-pandemic. To prove it wasn’t a fluke, over the 2019 Labor Day weekend 8.62 million…

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Excellent Employment

09/06/2022

August’s employment report is best described as Goldilocks. Most importantly, 786,000 persons entered the labor force, pushing the labor force participation rate from 62.1% to 62.4%. While some found work, others didn’t. As a result, the unemployment rate rose from…

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