The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
GDP Growth
The U.S. economy grew by an unexpectedly strong 3.3% in 23Q4, and growth for the year was 3.1%, well above expectations and the dismal 0.7% in 2022. Credit belongs to consumers who were unrelenting in their spending, charging, borrowing, and…
Read MoreDwelling Downer
December existing housing sales slid to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 3.87 million, the lowest level since 8/10 and the end of the second round of ill-fated congressionally enacted first-time homebuyer incentives. Excluding that, 12/23 was the worst month…
Read MoreDebt Dollars
For pre-Covid year ending 2/20, interest payments totaled $550 billion and the average interest rate on all outstanding U.S. Treasuries was 2.4%. Interest payments and the average interest rate paid both bottomed out for the year ending 1/22 at $320…
Read MoreSchool Spending
Recent data show boosting capital investment in public schools raises student test scores and nearby home prices. Conversely, investment in basic school infrastructure such as HVAC or the removal of pollutants to improve student health/safety boosts test scores but not…
Read MoreFantastic Football
The Friday File: In 2023, of the 100 most watched broadcasts, NFL football accounted for an astonishing 93! Moreover, of the remaining seven sports, three were college football and one was the Super-Bowl Lead-Out (a coveted slot immediately following the…
Read MoreLate Launch
In 1981, the median age of a first-time home buyer was 29, and the average age of a repeat buyer was 36. In 2001, the median ages were, respectively, 32 and 45. In 2022, during the Covid pandemic, and after…
Read MoreEconomic Expectations
In 10/22, 63% of economists thought there would be a recession within 12 months. In 1/23, the percentage fell to 61%, where it remained in 4/23. In 7/23, it fell to 54%, and in 10/23 it declined to 48%, sub-50%!…
Read MorePolitical Parties
The winners of the 2024 federal elections will face consequential decisions regarding whether to extend Trump’s tax cuts that expire after 2025. Republicans wish to extend them, costing Treasury $4 trillion over a decade. Democrats propose extending the cuts to…
Read MorePromotion Prospects
For office workers, 5.6% of full-time and hybrid workers received a promotion in 2023, compared to 3.9% for fully remote employees, with no difference in promotion rates between hybrid and full-time. Relatedly, female software engineers at Fortune 500 firms who…
Read MoreRecent Posts
- TIKTOK TOTALS 01/03/2025
- GDP GROWTH 01/02/2025
- GRAND GRACIAS 12/31/2024
- PRESIDENTIAL PASSING 12/30/2024
- REWARDING ROYALTIES 12/27/2024
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