The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom


Faulty Finance

09/14/2015

Many big banks have just agreed to pay almost $2 billion to settle allegations of rigging credit derivative markets. This comes on top of billions in penalties for rigging foreign-exchange, interest rate (LIBOR), and commodities markets. Worse, many were also…

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Majestic Monarchy

09/11/2015

The Friday File: On Wednesday, Queen Elizabeth II became the longest reigning British monarch — and the 48th longest reigning monarch of all-time — eclipsing the record of 63 years seven months and two days set by her great-great-grandmother Queen…

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Shrinking Self-Employment

09/10/2015

Despite Internet apps like TaskRabbit, Fiverr, and Uber that more easily than ever afford people the opportunity to work for themselves, the share of Americans who are self-employed has declined to 6.5% today, from 7.7% in 2005 and 8.5% in…

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Currency Conundrum

09/09/2015

Emerging market economies that export substantial raw materials face difficult choices. If they reduce interest rates, their currencies fall, inflation rises, capital quickly leaves and living standards decline. If they raise rates to protect their currency, investment and manufacturing will…

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Welcome Work

09/08/2015

Friday’s employment data was good. The unemployment rate fell from 5.3% to 5.1%, employment growth in June and July was revised up, hours worked rose, the labor force participation rate didn’t fall and August earnings/hour rose 0.3%, 0.1% more than…

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Presidential Peaks

09/04/2015

The Friday File: With Mount McKinley now Denali, the tallest presidential peak in the USA is Colorado’s Mount Lincoln at 14,293 ft. (23rd tallest in US), followed by Washington’s Mount Adams at 12,281, Oregon’s Mount Jefferson at 10,497, NH’s Mount…

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Marginal Margins

09/03/2015

The combination of falling global and tepid US growth has resulted in very low long-run inflation expectations which has caused long-term interest rates to continue falling. Moreover, the Fed will soon raise short-term rates. This will marginally reduce bank incentives…

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Vehicle Volume

09/02/2015

Annualized seasonally adjusted US auto sales hit 17.8 million last month, despite recent stock market gyrations. It was the single best month since 07/05, with the average transaction price hitting $33,543, 3.4% higher Y-o-Y, on booming pickup/cross-over/minivan/SUV sales, which were…

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Crude Climb

09/01/2015

Crude prices jumped 25% between 8/27/15 and 8/31/15, it’s best performance in decades! During that period OPEC said it would trim output if non-OPEC members would, data suggest US production in 6/15 was down to 9.3 million bbl/day its lowest…

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Global Grind

08/31/2015

While US consumer spending, job growth and Q2 GDP are strong, European inflation is stuck at 0.2%/year, Japanese GDP fell 0.4% in Q2/15, Indian growth was a disappointing 7% in Q2/15 and China continues slowing. This means central banks in…

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