Econ70

President Trump’s proposal giving $2,000/adult and $600/child, up from $600/person subject to income limits will cost $300 billion extra. The House bill giving $2,000/person subject to identical income limits will cost $465 billion more. In 21Q1, the benefits will be…

While the economy grew strongly through 10/20, growth is quickly decelerating. In November, personal income declined 1.1%, savings rates continued falling, and personal spending declined 0.4%, with spending on durables down 1.7%, nondurables down 0.6%, and services off 0.2%. Spending…

Inflation, measured by the Christmas Price Index and based on purchasing each day’s items once in “The Twelve Days of Christmas,” fell a staggering 58.5% in 2020 to $16,168.40 from $38,993.59 in 2019. Why the huge price drop? Social distancing…

All else equal, sloppily wrapped gifts cause recipients to respond more favorably to the gift; the more elegantly wrapped the gift, the higher the recipient expectations. But all’s not equal. When gifts come from acquaintances, recipients are more enthusiastic with…

Based on USPS data through 10/12/20, 150,000 persons have relocated from Manhattan and Brooklyn to more bucolic locations. Next, the 31,300 who left Chicago, 27,200 who exited San Francisco, 26,400 who departed LA, 15,500 who decamped from DC, and 14,900…

The finally agreed upon $900 billion Covid-19 aid package will boost GDP by $600 billion. That is equal to the 2021 output gap that our economy will experience, so decent work. The unemployment assistance and limited aid to state and…

The state that has had the most US presidents born in it is Virginia with eight. Right behind is Ohio with seven, New York has five and Massachusetts has four. No state has three presidents; five states have two, including…

Congress is finally closing in on a $900 billion coronavirus relief package; not a moment too soon! Retail sales, while up slightly Y-o-Y, fell 1.1% from their October level, their second straight M-o-M decline. And, as of today, first-time claims…

While the amount of global trade depends heavily on tariffs, it also depends mightily on the cost of transporting goods, and specifically that those costs fall faster than domestic production costs do. If both decline by, say 10%, trade levels…

The most cited manufacturing index, the ISM Manufacturing index, is at 57.5, just slightly below its two year high of 59.3, and consumer spending on goods is 8.4% above its pre-pandemic high. Yet industrial production is 4.9% below its 2/20…