Econ70
In 20Q1, mailed credit-card solicitations totaled 931 million. They collapsed to just 352 million in 20Q2, but by 21Q3 recovered and hit 940 million. Better yet for consumers, cash-back card offers hit 1.11% during 21Q2 and 21Q3, their highest level…
Read MoreDuring the 1980s, federal payments to individuals including Social Security and Medicare was 10% of GDP. From 1990 till the Housing Bust it was about 12%. During the Bust it hit 15%, but quickly fell and was 14.5% on the…
Read MoreDuring 2/20, the unemployment rate was 3.5%. There were 5.7 million unemployed persons and the labor force, composed of those working and those looking for work, was 164.5 million. During 10/21, the unemployment rate was 4.6%, composed of 7.4 million…
Read MoreIn a sign of perhaps peaking inflation, annual wage growth declined from 4.2% to 4.1% in October, the first decline since 4/21, immediately prior to the recent dramatic run-up in inflation. Moreover, the decline was widespread, extending to hourly workers,…
Read MoreCompared to 1/1/19, inflation-adjusted US purchases of services has fully recovered, great news. The problem: purchases of goods remain up by almost 20%! Apparently, Covid-19 habits die hard. The US economy is not suffering from anything resembling stagflation. Rather, we…
Read MoreThe Friday File: It turns out that, on average, we are more likeable than we think we are. The Liking Gap was first demonstrated in 2018. Researchers randomly paired persons for five-minute conversations after which each participant was asked to…
Read MoreMontana and Virginia are the states with the highest percentage of veterans among their civilian population over 18, at over 10%! States with 8.0%-9.9% and going from west to east are WA, NV, ID, AZ, WY, NM, CO, ND, SD,…
Read MoreAs measured by the CPI, October inflation rose 6.2% Y-o-Y, the fastest pace since 1990 and the fifth month in a row above 5%. Similarly, core-inflation rose 4.6% Y-o-Y, its largest move since 1991. Inflation is rising rapidly because demand…
Read MoreApartment developers are on track in 2021 to create 20,100 new multifamily units from old office, hotel, and retail buildings, more than any time since 2010 and well up from the 2017 post housing-bust peak of 15,000. Currently, 41% of…
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