Econ70

Budget Brawl Begins

04/13/2011

The budget battle over FY ’12 is here! The R plan makes big cuts to Medicare & Medicaid, ignores Social Security (SS) and keeps the Bush tax cuts. The D plan, will also ignore SS (2 risky) and will propose;…

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Big Banks are Challenged

04/12/2011

The lobbying power of big banks is being seriously challenged by an alliance of big retailers. The issue; the Durban amendment lowering interchange fess that banks collect when anyone buys anything with a debit card. Retailers pay the fee but…

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Chinese Trade Deficit!

04/11/2011

Yesterday China reported that imports ($400bn) had exceeded exports ($399bn) in Q1 ‘11. This tiny deficit, China’s first in 7 years is an encouraging development for the world economy. It comes after 2 successive years of import growth outpacing exports.…

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Republicans Budgeting Badly

04/08/2011

The Ryan G.O.P. Budget Proposal to abolish Medicare and replace it with vouchers to be used to buy private health insurance may be a great idea but privatizing Medicare does nothing to limit health-care costs. In fact, it almost surely…

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ECB Wrongly Raises Rates

04/07/2011

The ECB hiked its main interest rate to 1.25% from 1%, yet inflationary pressures and growth prospects are no different in Europe than in the US and UK and they are not raising. This decision marks the moment when differences…

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No Government, No Problem!

04/06/2011

If the federal gov’t closes does it matter to the economy? NO! Social Security checks will continue arriving and air traffic controllers will still land planes. The fragile recovery will not be harmed. The most serious and negative consequence; a…

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Dibilitating Debt Service

04/05/2011

Interest on the federal debt is 1.4% of GDP; $200 billion. But, it is projected to ramp up fast for 2 reasons. 1st we add $1.4 tillion to it every year and 2nd interest rates are at historic lows. If…

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Treasury Yields, Stay!

04/04/2011

There seems to be widespread view that Treasury yields will rise sharply once QE2 is over since the captive market for bonds, the Federal Reserve, will be gone. Wrong, wrong, wrong! The only way Treasury yields will increase is if…

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Private Sector adds 200K+ Jobs

04/02/2011

For the 1st time in 5 years the private-sector added more than 200K jobs for 2 months in a row. That’s great news! The bad news is that if you have a job wages haven’t kept up with the rising…

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The Symptom of Deflation

04/01/2011

Deflation 101: It’s critical to keep in mind that deflation is a symptom of weak demand but it is not necessarily a cause. If we attack the symptom of falling prices with a dose of inflation, we risk having 2…

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