Econ70

Rocking Rentals

02/21/2023

In 22Q4, for the first time since at least 1974 when data became available, the quarterly number of housing units built-for-rent at 133,000 exceeded the number of single-family units built-for-sale at 126,000. Historically, the only times these numbers came close…

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Presidential Performance

02/20/2023

The state with the most presidents births is Virginia with eight, followed by Ohio with seven, New York with five, and Massachusetts with four. Those states account for 52.2% of all presidents. New Jersey and Vermont both have three, and…

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Fantastic Football

02/17/2023

The Friday File: In calendar year 2022, of the 100 most-watched U.S. television broadcasts, Super Bowl LVI was the most watched, not a big surprise. However, of the top 10 most watched shows last year, nine were NFL games, and…

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Starter Shortage

02/16/2023

From 1976 through 1979, 418,000 entry-level single-family houses/year were built, 34% of all new homes constructed. In the 1980s, the number fell to 314,000/year, still 33% of all new homes built. In the 1990s it shrank to just 207,000/year, and…

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Imposing Inflation

02/15/2023

While inflation fell from 6.5% Y-o-Y in 12/22 to 6.4% in 1/23, and core inflation similarly declined from 5.7% to 5.6%, its fourth straight decline, the declines are moderating. Worse, core-services inflation, which excludes energy and is the Fed’s favorite…

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Valuable Valentine

02/14/2023

In 2023, persons in a relationship plan to spend an average of $187 on Valentine’s Day gifts, down from a record $208 in 2022 but up from $144 in 2021. More interestingly, those in a dating relationship expect their partner…

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Discharge Data

02/13/2023

While many firms are laying off staff, be it Amazon winnowing 18,000 or Disney culling 7,000, they all cut roughly 5% of their workforce. These firms probably decided in late 2022 based on economic conditions to start layoffs in early…

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Pigskin Prognostications

02/10/2023

The Friday File: For Super Bowl LVII the Kansas City Chiefs will wear white jerseys, the Philadelphia Eagles green jerseys. Since SB I the team wearing white jerseys has won 64% of the time. Unrelatedly, the 74% accurate Super Bowl…

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Work Whereabouts

02/09/2023

During the week of 1/23/23, average office use was 50.4% of its pre-pandemic level, the first time it has exceeded 50% since the start of the Covid pandemic. The office worker visit trough was 15% in spring 2020. Of the…

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Budget Bluster

02/08/2023

With cuts to Social Security and Medicare (at 23% and 14% of the budget) now apparently off the table, that leaves just 63% of the budget. But not really. Net interest is 8% and defense is 14%. That leaves just…

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