Econ70

Miraculous Mississippi

10/24/2014

The Friday File: One of only three undefeated college football teams, what separates the #1 ranked Mississippi Bulldogs from other top programs is school spending on football totals just $15.3 million/year. Alabama spends the most; $41.6 million/year, with $11.8 million…

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Republican Reversal

10/23/2014

Should the Republicans regain the Senate (which seems likely), expect them to reverse the Democrats’ rule enabling confirmation of cabinet appointees and most judges from a simple majority back to a super majority of 60 votes. With a simple majority,…

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Poor Potential

10/22/2014

The unemployment rate declines when an economy grows faster than its potential. This usually happens coming out of recessions when an economy makes up for economic growth that didn’t occur during the recession. The problem is, while the unemployment rate…

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Good Going

10/21/2014

Last week, first-time claims for unemployment fell to their lowest level since May 2000 and population-adjusted, you have to go back to the week of May 17th 1969 to get a lower number! In addition, industrial production jumped one percent,…

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Mighty Multifamily

10/20/2014

While housing starts were up 6.3% in September compared to August, the increase was led by an 18.5% rise in multifamily and a 1.1% rise in single-family. YTD single-family starts are up just 4%; multifamily are up 23%! Single-family permits…

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Negative Nuptials

10/17/2014

The Friday File: Economists studying marriage find that the more lavish the wedding the shorter the marriage. To be precise, the chances of getting divorced are 60% higher if the wedding cost more than $20,000 compared to less costly nuptials.…

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Reluctant Raises

10/16/2014

The total value of wages is $7.2 trillion. If we add 2.3 million workers/year to payrolls, the current rate, each of which earns the average wage of $42,498, total wages rise by $98 billion. However, a 1.36% increase in real…

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Vast Volatility

10/15/2014

With Ebola worsening, Europe suddenly dramatically weakening, ISIS looking strong, China and Japan slowing, commodity prices tanking and QE ending, market stress is unsurprising. The end of QE and the subsequent rise in short-term rates would be sufficient to fuel…

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Correlated Currencies

10/14/2014

The euro’s dramatic fall against the dollar, due to Europe’s economic weakness, will reduce US inflationary pressures, hurt US exports and reduce equity values. Therefore, the Fed may wait longer before raising rates. However, the ECB is hoping the Fed…

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Terrific Tirole

10/13/2014

Today French economist Jean Tirole won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. His research focuses on industries dominated by a few large firms — like credit cards, banks, cable companies, Internet search — and how to regulate them. Because there…

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