Econ70

Incentivizing Iran

04/23/2015

The key is less the rollback of the Iranian nuclear program, but more the ability to monitor it in real time. Absent that, it will be impossible to determine if the Iranians are being honest and for us to impose…

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World Worry

04/22/2015

For those who enjoy worrying about global economic health, here is a handy checklist. Macroeconomic risks have declined, but easy credit and low interest rates have caused pension funds and insurance companies to chase yield and in the process make…

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Working Welfare

04/21/2015

Perhaps surprisingly, 56% of federal and state welfare program spending (EITC, Medicaid, TANF and food stamps) went to households headed by a working adult. 52% of fast-food workers receive government assistance, 48% of home care workers, 46% of child-care workers…

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Dreadful Drought

04/20/2015

The California drought can be overcome with a grand compromise. Shift some water from agriculture to residential use. Purify wastewater into drinking water, recycle graywater to be reused as irrigation, and improve stormwater retention. Simultaneously, raise the price of water,…

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Inflationary Income

04/17/2015

The Friday File: The Washington Nationals recently signed hurler Max Sherzer to a mind-blowing seven-year $210 million contract, payable over 14 years. Sherzer will receive $15 million/year. Beyond Sherzer’s performance, this is a bet on expected long-term inflation. If inflation…

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Humdrum Housing

04/16/2015

After a dismal February, housing bounced back slightly in March, but is still quite weak. While starts jumped a weather-related 115% in the Northeast and 31% in the in the Midwest, they inexplicably fell 4% in the South and 19%…

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Teutonic Trouble

04/15/2015

While China has the largest trade surplus at $380 billion, Germany, with a trade surplus of $250 billion, may soon take that title. China’s surplus is about 2% of its GDP, but Germany’s is almost 7% and rising. It’s high…

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Taxing Totals

04/14/2015

In 2014, the bottom fifth of Americans (incomes up to $24,200/year) earned 4.5% of income and paid -2.2% of income taxes (because of credits like EITC). The next quintile earned 9.3% of income and paid -1% of income taxes. The…

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Cracking Crime

04/13/2015

A dollar of government spending can create more than a dollar of tax revenue! About $60 billion/year of Medicare spending goes for “improper payments.” With a return of over $10 for each dollar spent, Congress should increase the Medicare fraud-busting…

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Doctor Drupe

04/10/2015

Doctor Drupe The Friday File: Contrary to popular wisdom and after controlling for socioeconomic status, persons that eat an apple a day are just as likely to see the doctor or have an overnight hospital stay as those that do…

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