Econ70

Incipient Inflation

07/30/2015

While the inflation rate is about 0%, the price of goods is falling at 3.3%/year while services inflation is running at 2%/year. Goods are falling in price due to cheap imports, a strong dollar, excess capacity, and falling raw material…

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Rate Reluctance

07/29/2015

While the Fed did not raise rates at today’s just concluded interest rate setting meeting, they removed any semblance of date guidance and again told us that the data will determine when the first rate rise since 2006 occurs. No…

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Heading Home

07/28/2015
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Dropping Diesel

07/27/2015

The cost of diesel is below the price of gasoline for the first time since 2009. Gasoline prices peak in spring/summer due to driving, while diesel demand peaks in autumn and winter due to agricultural activity and winter heating. Therefore,…

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Meaty Measurement

07/24/2015

The Friday File: Assuming exchange rates and prices eventually adjust to make the same item equally priced everywhere, the Big Mac Index was developed. In Switzerland, a Big Mac is a whopping $6.82, its currency is hopelessly overvalued. In Russia,…

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High Housing

07/23/2015

June existing home sales hit their highest number since 7/06, and while the median sales price hit a record-high of $236,400, an inflation-adjusted price comparable to 7/06 would be $270,014. Part of the picture is that the number of distressed…

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Gloomy Gold

07/22/2015

Since hitting a high of $1,889/oz. on 8/21/11, gold has steadily declined and is now about $1,100/oz. Investors sought gold out of misplaced fears that inflation would run wild due to lax monetary policy. Now that the economy is out…

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‘Mazing Multifamily

07/21/2015

While housing starts and permits are rising smartly, it’s entirely due to multifamily (2 or more units). Last month, multifamily starts enjoyed their best month since 4/88 and their best first half of the year since 1989! Moreover, in June…

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Hola Hispania

07/20/2015

There are about 41 million persons age five and older in the US that speak Spanish at home. This makes the US the 4th largest fourth largest Spanish-speaking nation behind Spain at 46 million, Colombia at 48 million and Mexico…

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Complex Cards

07/17/2015

The Friday File: Since first appearing in the early 1800s, poker has become increasingly complex. Originally, five cards were dealt followed by one round of betting. That’s boring, and the chance of having a good hand, very low. By introducing…

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