Econ70

Inelastic Inversions

02/04/2016

To reduce corporate inversions, where US firms buy foreign firms to reduce taxes, in 9/14 the Treasury attempted to curb such deals by making them more difficult. That said, in the 16 months since 9/14 there have been 12 corporate…

Read More

Delayed Development

02/03/2016

With manufacturing weak, services weakening, inflation non-existent, credit spreads widening, the long end of the yield curve not rising, and central banks in Europe, Japan and China all actively easing, the Fed will almost certainly not raise rates in March.…

Read More

Lost Legislatures

02/02/2016

Despite weak economic growth throughout the developed world, the only institutions trying to fix things are central banks. And while they can do a great deal, they cannot permanently boost economic growth via increased infrastructure spending or by passing tax,…

Read More

Petrol Prices

02/01/2016

The Saudis won’t reduce oil production, Iraqi output rose by 900,000 bbl/day last year with output likely to continue to increase in 2016, and Iranian output is set to surge by at least 600,000 bbl/day. Add to that weakening global…

Read More

Excellent Endowments

01/29/2016

The Friday File: US colleges raised $40.31 billion last year, up 7.6% from 2014. Stanford raised the most; $1.63 billion, followed by Harvard at $1.05 billion, USC at $650 million, UCSF at $610 million and Cornell at $590 million. The…

Read More

Realing Rio

01/28/2016

In 2015, Brazil’s economy shrunk by 4% and it will contract 3.5% more in 2016. Moreover, inflation is 10.7% and rising quickly. Yet the central bank didn’t raise rates. This may be because debt service already consumes a whopping 8%…

Read More

Fed Fudge

01/27/2016

In today’s post-meeting statement, the Fed is trying to keep their options open and separate signal from noise. If employment and inflation continue to improve, they will raise rates in March. But given the strengthening dollar, widening credit spreads, weakening…

Read More

Less License

01/26/2016

While auto sales hit 17.5 million in 2015, slightly surpassing the prior record set in 2000, the US population is now 12.7% larger! Per capita sales are falling because the percentage of persons with driver’s licenses are declining. The percentage…

Read More

Poor Proposal

01/25/2016

Senator Sanders’ proposal of a 1% roundtrip tax on stock trades will raise less revenue than expected, as some trading will migrate to areas with no tax. Moreover, because it increases transaction costs, it will reduce trading and liquidity and…

Read More

More Marijuana

01/22/2016

The Friday File: 5.9% of college students reported smoking marijuana on a daily or near daily (DND) basis, up from 3.7% in 2007. By contrast, only 5.2% of college students smoke cigarettes DND, compared to 19% in 1999, and 4.3%…

Read More

Recent Posts

Categories

Archives