Econ70

Rate Relocation

04/13/2016

With the 10-year Treasury at 1.78% and 30-year mortgage rates reaching their 2016 low last week at 3.59%, and with the IMF again downgrading their estimate of global growth, there’s talk of 30-year mortgage rates possibly reaching the 3.35% low…

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Blockchain Building

04/12/2016

While Bitcoin may or may not become mainstream, the blockchain technology that undergirds it, a “distributed ledger” which is a database maintained not by a single actor but by many participants simultaneously, slowly will. Financial trades could be settled instantly…

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Rate Reverberations

04/11/2016

As Japan and Europe sink further into negative interest rate territory, the impacts here are undeniable. In an effort to earn positive returns, European and Japanese investors sell their currencies to purchase ours pushing up our dollar, hurting exports, weakening…

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Top Teetotalers

04/08/2016

The Friday File: Contrary to popular belief, the United Kingdom ranks just 4th in global per capita tea consumption at 3.7 lbs/person/year. Uzbekistan is 3rd at 4.6 lbs/person/year, Ireland is 2nd at 4.7 lbs/person/year while the Turks consume the most…

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Diverse Delinquencies

04/07/2016

Q3 consumer delinquencies rose from a record low of 1.36% in Q2 to 1.41%. These levels are substantially below the 15-year average of 2.25%, a level last seen roughly four years ago. Mobile home loans have the highest delinquency rate…

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Poor Profits

04/06/2016

While the sagging stock market is the result of many factors, corporate profits haven’t helped. In Q4, depending on how measured, corporate profits declined between 3.6% and 15%, and in 2015 they ranged from up 3.3% to down 5.1%. Using…

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Happy Hogs

04/05/2016

During Q1/16, the top performing asset was lean hogs, up a staggering 35.2%, followed by gold at 16.5%, utility stocks at 15.7%, and the Brazilian stock market, which rose 15.5%. The worst performer, rough rice, down 18.1%, followed by natural…

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Lotsa Labor

04/04/2016

Friday’s jobs report showed a solid gain of 215,000 jobs. That said, the unemployment rate ticked up from 4.9% to 5% because the labor force grew by an even larger 396,000 persons! As a result, the labor force participation rate…

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Lousy Legislation

04/01/2016

The Friday file: To raise revenue and end partisan bickering, a bill changing the name of the Liberty Bell to the Taco Liberty Bell and the Lincoln Memorial to the Ford Lincoln Mercury Memorial has surprisingly passed both houses of…

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Power Percentages

03/31/2016

Between 1950 and 2000, half of electricity generated came from coal, now it’s just 32%, and the percentage coming from hydro has steadily fallen from 30% in 1950 to 6%. Conversely, natural gas, which was just 10% during the 1980s,…

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