Econ70

Swift Success

11/17/2023

The Friday File: Prior to Taylor Swift/The Eras Tour, the top grossing concert film of all time was Justin Bieber: Never Say Never with $73 million in 2011, followed by Michael Jackson’s This Is It which grossed $72.1 million in…

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Browser Bucks

11/16/2023

In the 1998 Microsoft antitrust case, Microsoft forced PC makers not to install competitive internet browsers if they wanted Windows desktop software to crush competition. In Google’s current antitrust case, we now know that Google paid Apple/Samsung/Motorola/AT&T/T-Mobile/Mozilla and many others…

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Incremental Inflation

11/15/2023

CPI rose 3.2% Y-o-Y in October, down from 3.7% in August and September, and barely above the 3.1% June low, its lowest level since 3/21. CPI peaked at 9% Y-o-Y in 6/22. More importantly, core CPI rose 4% Y-o-Y, its…

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Excellent Equity

11/14/2023

As of 9/23, the percentage of home mortgage holders with negative equity is just 383,000 or 0.7%, less than half the percentage prior to Covid and prior to the Housing Bust. The percentage peaked in 2009 at 30%. Currently, the…

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Continuing Claims

11/13/2023

For the week ending 11/4/23, initial unemployment claims were a very low 217,000, barely above decade lows. However, continuing unemployment claims came in at 1,834,000 and are up about 250,000 from the decade lows set last year. This suggests that…

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Valuable Veterans

11/10/2023

In 1938, Congress formally made 11/11 Veterans Day. It pays tribute to all American veterans both living and deceased, but especially honors those who are alive. The state with the highest percentage of veterans is Alaska at 8.8% of the…

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Waning Wages

11/09/2023

A wage-price spiral looks increasingly unlikely. Y-o-Y wage growth has steadily decelerated from a recent peak of 5.1% in 22Q2 to now 4.3%, the lowest reading since 21Q4. Moreover, the index has slowed four out of the last five quarters.…

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Office Optimization

11/08/2023

Despite substantial talk of office space to residential apartment conversions, in 2022 developers created just 3,575 apartment units that way, less than 1% of all new apartments built. In 2021, the number of such conversions was about 4,300. In 2020,…

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Costly Cars

11/07/2023

The average cost of owning and operating a new car in 2023 is $12,182, up significantly from $10,728 in 2022. Annual operating costs consisting of fuel and maintenance are $3,864/year, while ownership costs of depreciation, finance charges, insurance and fees…

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Weakening Work

11/06/2023

Net job growth in October was a respectable 150,000; that said that’s the second lowest level since 12/20 and August and September were collectively revised down 101,000. Additionally, unemployment ticked up to 3.9%, the highest rate since 1/22 and up…

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