Month: March 2015

Halting Housing

03/17/2015

While housing starts were positively rotten last month, weather was a key factor. That said, permits are much less weather sensitive than starts, with a very small margin of error. While overall permits were up 4%, single-family permit activity was…

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Burgeoning Buck

03/16/2015

While the strength of the US dollar was for a long time the result of central bank policy in the US, the dollar is now, to at least some extent, a determinant of Fed policy. Because the surging dollar is…

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March Madness

03/13/2015

The Friday File: While the NCAA college basketball tournament may or may not cost the economy money in lost worker productivity and sales, the sure losers are the 99% of Division I college players that don’t make the NBA. They…

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Tough Transit

03/12/2015

After WWII, public transit use peaked at 23 billion unique trips, meaning that 20% of the US population took public transit twice a day. Public transit usage then quickly declined, hitting a low of 6.6 billion unique trips in 1972.…

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Sino Slowdown

03/11/2015

With industrial output growing at its slowest pace since 2008, retail sales and fixed investment at levels last seen in 2005 and 2001 respectively, China is slowing. To boost lending, expect China to lower interest rates and the reserve requirement…

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Price Protection

03/10/2015

Many stores offer low-price-match guarantees. On the surface this protects consumers. But it can harm them too. Once convinced that a store will match a lower price, customers may not shop around to find better prices. Moreover, if multiple stores…

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Limited Labor

03/09/2015

Last Friday’s employment numbers were good, not great. 295,000 net new jobs is outstanding, and employment growth during the last year has been the best since 2000. Better yet, almost all the new jobs are in the private sector, almost…

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Parental Poverty

03/06/2015

The Friday File: The cost of raising a child from birth to college is $245,340, or $13,630/year for families with annual incomes of $82,790. Of course this excludes college costs and forgone income while being a stay-at-home parent. Conservatively those…

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Terrific Term

03/05/2015

In Obama’s first term, 2.018 million private sector jobs were created. That total beats both of W’s terms, and Bush Sr.’s only term, but doesn’t come close to the over 10 million jobs created in each of Clinton’s terms. However,…

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Productivity Problem

03/04/2015

While 3.2 million new jobs were created in 2014 making it a great year for job creation, GDP grew by a very pedestrian 2.4%. This suggests that labor productivity is either growing very slowly, or worse, may be declining. Either…

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